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Roccella vs Paceco - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2017/2018
Roccella Logo

Roccella

3 - 1
FT
Paceco Logo

Paceco

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group I 2017/2018 game between Roccella and Paceco finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Roccella.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Roccella
20%
Draws
16%
Paceco
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Roccella

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Roccella carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Roccella's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Roccella Clean Sheet 12%
Paceco Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Roccella Paceco
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 7 4
Draws 5 3
Losses 20 23
Goals Scored 0.88 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.91 2.2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2018 Serie D - Group I
Paceco vs Roccella
1:2
Dec 17, 2017 Serie D - Group I
Roccella vs Paceco
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Roccella 38 / 100
Paceco 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Roccella Paceco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Roccella Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paceco has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Difficult form: Paceco registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Roccella's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Roccella VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
2.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Roccella

(Home)
03 Jul
FC Messina
7 : 1
Roccella
16 Jun
Roccella
1 : 1
Castrovillari
13 Jun
Gelbison
4 : 0
Roccella
30 May
Roccella
2 : 1
Biancavilla
23 May
Roccella
0 : 1
AS Acireale
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Paceco

(Away)
06 May
Paceco
1 : 2
Roccella
29 Apr
ACR Messina
5 : 0
Paceco
22 Apr
Paceco
1 : 2
Troina
15 Apr
AS Acireale
1 : 1
Paceco
08 Apr
Paceco
1 : 3
Gelbison
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vibonese 34 22 10 2 67:24 76
2 Troina 34 24 4 6 59:28 76
3 Nocerina 34 20 9 5 50:20 69
4 Vesuvio Ercolanese 34 19 7 8 58:33 64
5 Igea Virtus 34 18 6 10 43:25 60
6 ACR Messina 34 14 11 9 57:39 53
7 Gela 34 13 13 8 56:46 52
8 AS Acireale 34 14 9 11 47:45 51
9 Gelbison 34 11 14 9 36:42 47
10 Cittanovese 34 11 9 14 43:46 42
11 Portici 1906 34 12 6 16 35:44 42
12 Sancataldese 34 11 7 16 40:41 40
13 Roccella 34 10 8 16 41:49 38
14 US Palmese 34 11 10 13 47:54 37
15 Ebolitana 34 6 12 16 32:50 30
16 Pro Palazzolo (Inactive) 34 5 10 19 26:53 25
17 Paceco 34 6 3 25 30:74 20
18 Isola Capo Rizzuto 34 2 6 26 15:69 12
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2017/2018 (Play Offs)