Sport Picks
Rochdale vs Accrington - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
League Two Spotland Stadium, Rochdale 
Match Events
14'
14'
Woods J.
20'
20'
Sub
Woods J. In: Henderson A.
Out: Woods J.
23'
23'
Tutonda D.
AI Match Summary
The League Two game between Rochdale and Accrington finished 0-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Accrington.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
7%
35%
58%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Accrington
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Rochdale have managed 1.46 goals a game lately — Accrington are scoring more at 1.56.
- Model gives Accrington a 58% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Rochdale Clean Sheet 10%
Accrington Clean Sheet 17%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Rochdale | Accrington |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 27 |
| Wins | 9 | 9 |
| Draws | 6 | 11 |
| Losses | 13 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.46 | 1.56 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.11 | 1.3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 2.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 24, 2026 League Two
Rochdale vs Accrington
0:5
Aug 30, 2022 EFL Trophy
Accrington vs Rochdale
4:3
Apr 17, 2021 League One
Rochdale vs Accrington
3:1
Oct 10, 2020 League One
Accrington vs Rochdale
2:1
Jan 1, 2020 League One
Accrington vs Rochdale
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Rochdale Compare
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
Accrington Compare
Top Goalscorer Walton T.
2 Goals Assists Leader Woods J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.36
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Rochdale 10 / 100
Accrington 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Rochdale Accrington
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Accrington Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 4.40 goals.
Rochdale scored in 75% of their last 28 games.
Accrington has conceded goals in 67% of their last 27 outings.
Recent resilience: Rochdale stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Rochdale VS Accrington
1.13 Goals Scored 1.88
3 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 38%
75% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Rochdale
(Home) 03 Nov
Rochdale
1 : 4 Doncaster
31 Oct
Port Vale
4 : 2 Rochdale
24 Oct
Rochdale
0 : 5 Accrington
20 Oct
Rochdale
2 : 2 Grimsby
17 Oct
Crewe
3 : 2 Rochdale
Page 1 of 6
03 Nov
Rochdale
1 : 4 Doncaster
24 Oct
Rochdale
0 : 5 Accrington
20 Oct
Rochdale
2 : 2 Grimsby
03 Oct
Rochdale
1 : 0 Swindon
22 Sept
Rochdale
3 : 4 Liverpool U21
Page 1 of 3
Accrington
(Away) 31 Oct
Accrington
1 : 1 Northampton
24 Oct
Rochdale
0 : 5 Accrington
20 Oct
York City
1 : 1 Accrington
17 Oct
Accrington
3 : 1 Gillingham
10 Oct
Oldham
0 : 0 Accrington
Page 1 of 6
24 Oct
Rochdale
0 : 5 Accrington
20 Oct
York City
1 : 1 Accrington
10 Oct
Oldham
0 : 0 Accrington
26 Sept
Swindon
1 : 1 Accrington
12 Sept
Barnet
2 : 1 Accrington
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salford | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 25:15 | 31 |
| 2 | Barnet | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 28:18 | 26 |
| 3 | Walsall | 13 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 21:12 | 22 |
| 4 | Crewe | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 17:17 | 22 |
| 5 | Cheltenham | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 23:25 | 21 |
| 6 | Grimsby | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 24:18 | 20 |
| 7 | York City | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 24:21 | 20 |
| 8 | Gillingham | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 20:19 | 20 |
| 9 | Accrington | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 23:17 | 19 |
| 10 | Chesterfield | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 24:21 | 19 |
| 11 | Tranmere | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 19:17 | 19 |
| 12 | Exeter | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 11:9 | 19 |
| 13 | Swindon | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 15:17 | 19 |
| 14 | Newport | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 20:17 | 18 |
| 15 | Shrewsbury | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 17:22 | 18 |
| 16 | Fleetwood Town | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 18:18 | 17 |
| 17 | Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 17:23 | 16 |
| 18 | Oldham | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 15:19 | 15 |
| 19 | Port Vale | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 10:14 | 15 |
| 20 | Rochdale | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 17:26 | 15 |
| 21 | Northampton | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 9:10 | 14 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 18:25 | 12 |
| 23 | Colchester | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 12:19 | 12 |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13:21 | 9 |
Promotion - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
