Sport Picks
Rochdale vs Crawley Town - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
League Two Spotland Stadium, Rochdale 
Match Events
8'
8'
Aderoju O.
13'
13'
Farquharson P.
28'
28'
Moss D.
AI Match Summary
The League Two game between Rochdale and Crawley Town finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Crawley Town.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
30%
31%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Rochdale
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
31%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Rochdale come out ahead of Crawley Town on wins alone.
- 31% — that's where the model lands on Crawley Town taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Crawley Town have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Rochdale Clean Sheet 14%
Crawley Town Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Rochdale | Crawley Town |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 27 |
| Wins | 10 | 6 |
| Draws | 8 | 7 |
| Losses | 11 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.52 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.83 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 22, 2026 League Two
Rochdale vs Crawley Town
1:2
Mar 25, 2023 League Two
Crawley Town vs Rochdale
2:0
Aug 27, 2022 League Two
Rochdale vs Crawley Town
1:1
Mar 26, 2022 League Two
Crawley Town vs Rochdale
1:0
Oct 9, 2021 League Two
Rochdale vs Crawley Town
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Rochdale Compare
Top Goalscorer Ebanks-Landell E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Crawley Town Compare
Top Goalscorer Aderoju O.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Rochdale 19 / 100
Crawley Town 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Rochdale Crawley Town
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Crawley Town Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:5
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Rochdale scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.
Crawley Town's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 27 matches.
H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Rochdale stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Rochdale VS Crawley Town
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Rochdale
(Home) 20 Oct
Rochdale
2 : 2 Grimsby
17 Oct
Crewe
3 : 2 Rochdale
10 Oct
Tranmere
1 : 1 Rochdale
06 Oct
Huddersfield
5 : 0 Rochdale
03 Oct
Rochdale
1 : 0 Swindon
Page 1 of 6
20 Oct
Rochdale
2 : 2 Grimsby
03 Oct
Rochdale
1 : 0 Swindon
22 Sept
Rochdale
3 : 4 Liverpool U21
19 Sept
Rochdale
2 : 0 Oldham
05 Sept
Rochdale
1 : 4 Gillingham
Page 1 of 3
Crawley Town
(Away) 20 Oct
Crawley Town
2 : 3 Shrewsbury
17 Oct
Salford
2 : 1 Crawley Town
10 Oct
Crawley Town
2 : 2 Chesterfield
06 Oct
Crawley Town
4 : 0 Bromley
22 Sept
Milton Keynes Dons
4 : 1 Crawley Town
Page 1 of 6
17 Oct
Salford
2 : 1 Crawley Town
22 Sept
Milton Keynes Dons
4 : 1 Crawley Town
19 Sept
Grimsby
2 : 0 Crawley Town
05 Sept
Accrington
3 : 2 Crawley Town
01 Sept
Northampton
1 : 1 Crawley Town
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salford | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 19:12 | 25 |
| 2 | Barnet | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 23:15 | 21 |
| 3 | Crewe | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 15:11 | 21 |
| 4 | Walsall | 11 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 16:7 | 19 |
| 5 | Cheltenham | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 21:22 | 18 |
| 6 | York City | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 19:13 | 17 |
| 7 | Gillingham | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 17:14 | 17 |
| 8 | Shrewsbury | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13:17 | 17 |
| 9 | Chesterfield | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 18:16 | 16 |
| 10 | Exeter | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 8:6 | 16 |
| 11 | Accrington | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 17:16 | 15 |
| 12 | Newport | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 16:15 | 15 |
| 13 | Tranmere | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 15:15 | 15 |
| 14 | Rochdale | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15:17 | 15 |
| 15 | Swindon | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13:16 | 15 |
| 16 | Bristol Rovers | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 16:20 | 15 |
| 17 | Grimsby | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 15:15 | 14 |
| 18 | Fleetwood Town | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 14:15 | 14 |
| 19 | Colchester | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 11:14 | 12 |
| 20 | Port Vale | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 6:10 | 12 |
| 21 | Oldham | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13:17 | 11 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 14:20 | 11 |
| 23 | Northampton | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 6:8 | 10 |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 11:20 | 5 |
Promotion - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
