Sport Picks

Rochdale vs Doncaster - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England

EFL Trophy Spotland Stadium, Rochdale

Doncaster

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the EFL Trophy. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Rochdale at 1.62 goals for, 1.83 against; Doncaster at 1.31 for, 1.17 against. Past meetings favor Doncaster slightly — 0-4-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Dec 29, 2022, ending 4:3. The numbers (1.56 xG vs 1.38) point toward Doncaster. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%

Rochdale

15%

Draws

34%

Doncaster

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rochdale

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence

Doncaster have managed 1.31 goals a game lately — Rochdale are scoring more at 1.62.
36% — that's where the model lands on Rochdale taking it.
Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
Historical meetings favor Doncaster, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
These two have met 5 times recently and Doncaster have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%

Rochdale Clean Sheet 17%

Doncaster Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Rochdale	Doncaster
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	12	12
Draws	6	7
Losses	11	10
Goals Scored	1.62	1.31
Goals Conceded	1.83	1.17
Expected Goals (xG)	1.56	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 29, 2022 League Two

Doncaster vs Rochdale

4:3

Oct 1, 2022 League Two

Rochdale vs Doncaster

1:2

May 1, 2021 League One

Rochdale vs Doncaster

1:2

Jan 19, 2021 League One

Doncaster vs Rochdale

1:0

Feb 8, 2020 League One

Doncaster vs Rochdale

1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rochdale 36 / 100

Doncaster 33 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Rochdale Doncaster

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Rochdale scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Doncaster's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Rochdale went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rochdale VS Doncaster

1.5 Goals Scored 1.25

1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63

75% Over 1.5 75%

63% Over 2.5 50%

25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Rochdale

(Home)

06 Oct

Huddersfield

5 : 0

Rochdale

03 Oct

Rochdale

1 : 0

Swindon

26 Sept

Fleetwood Town

1 : 2

Rochdale

22 Sept

Rochdale

3 : 4

Liverpool U21

19 Sept

Rochdale

2 : 0

Oldham

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Doncaster

(Away)

06 Oct

Doncaster

1 : 0

Liverpool U21

19 Sept

Peterborough

0 : 2

Doncaster

12 Sept

AFC Wimbledon

1 : 0

Doncaster

08 Sept

Doncaster

1 : 3

Huddersfield

05 Sept

Doncaster

2 : 3

Plymouth

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