Sport Picks
Match Events
9'
9'
McManus C.
18'
18'
Sub
Goodwin W. In: Sillah L.
Out: Goodwin W.
18'
18'
Sub
Obiero Z. In: King E.
Out: Obiero Z.
AI Match Summary
The League Two game between Rochdale and Gillingham finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gillingham.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
15%
48%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gillingham
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
48%
/ Medium Confidence
- Rochdale carry the better recent record into this one.
- 48% — that's where the model lands on Gillingham taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Gillingham here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Rochdale Clean Sheet 14%
Gillingham Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Rochdale | Gillingham |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 9 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 10 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.68 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.71 | 1.79 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 5, 2026 League Two
Rochdale vs Gillingham
1:4
Feb 18, 2023 League Two
Rochdale vs Gillingham
0:2
Aug 6, 2022 League Two
Gillingham vs Rochdale
1:0
Jan 23, 2021 League One
Gillingham vs Rochdale
2:2
Dec 19, 2020 League One
Rochdale vs Gillingham
1:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Rochdale Compare
Top Goalscorer Tasker C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Gillingham Compare
Top Goalscorer Brophy J.
2 Goals Assists Leader Beckles O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Rochdale 27 / 100
Gillingham 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Rochdale Gillingham
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Gillingham Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.40 goals.
Rochdale's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Gillingham's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.
Rochdale has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Rochdale VS Gillingham
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Rochdale
(Home) 26 Sept
Fleetwood Town
1 : 2 Rochdale
22 Sept
Rochdale
3 : 4 Liverpool U21
19 Sept
Rochdale
2 : 0 Oldham
12 Sept
Walsall
0 : 0 Rochdale
05 Sept
Rochdale
1 : 4 Gillingham
Page 1 of 6
22 Sept
Rochdale
3 : 4 Liverpool U21
19 Sept
Rochdale
2 : 0 Oldham
05 Sept
Rochdale
1 : 4 Gillingham
01 Sept
Rochdale
3 : 0 Shrewsbury
22 Aug
Rochdale
1 : 2 Crawley Town
Page 1 of 3
Gillingham
(Away) 26 Sept
York City
3 : 0 Gillingham
22 Sept
Gillingham
1 : 4 Cambridge Utd
19 Sept
Gillingham
3 : 0 Bristol Rovers
12 Sept
Gillingham
2 : 0 Tranmere
05 Sept
Rochdale
1 : 4 Gillingham
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
York City
3 : 0 Gillingham
05 Sept
Rochdale
1 : 4 Gillingham
01 Sept
Chesterfield
1 : 1 Gillingham
22 Aug
Fleetwood Town
0 : 0 Gillingham
31 Jul
Ebbsfleet
1 : 2 Gillingham
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barnet | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 17:10 | 15 |
| 2 | Cheltenham | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16:12 | 15 |
| 3 | Bristol Rovers | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 13:11 | 15 |
| 4 | York City | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16:10 | 14 |
| 5 | Walsall | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 11:5 | 14 |
| 6 | Grimsby | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 12:8 | 13 |
| 7 | Salford | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12:10 | 13 |
| 8 | Gillingham | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:9 | 12 |
| 9 | Crewe | 8 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 8:6 | 12 |
| 10 | Tranmere | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 10:8 | 11 |
| 11 | Chesterfield | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11:10 | 11 |
| 12 | Swindon | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:12 | 11 |
| 13 | Rotherham | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 11:11 | 10 |
| 14 | Fleetwood Town | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:9 | 10 |
| 15 | Colchester | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10:12 | 10 |
| 16 | Rochdale | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:11 | 10 |
| 17 | Newport | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12:12 | 9 |
| 18 | Shrewsbury | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7:13 | 8 |
| 19 | Accrington | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 11:14 | 7 |
| 20 | Oldham | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9:13 | 7 |
| 21 | Exeter | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4:6 | 6 |
| 22 | Northampton | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3:6 | 6 |
| 23 | Port Vale | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3:9 | 5 |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:13 | 4 |
Promotion - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
