Sport Picks

England

EFL Trophy Spotland Stadium, Rochdale

Rochdale

Tue, Sep 22, 2026

3 - 4

06:00 PM

Liverpool U21

Our Tip

Match Events

21'

Ndiaye T.

37'

Rodney D.

Assist: Silcott-Duberry Z.

42'

Wright W.

Assist: Chambers L.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-4. The second leg ended 3-4.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%

Rochdale

20%

Draws

47%

Liverpool U21

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Liverpool U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence

Liverpool U21 carry the better recent record into this one.
Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
Liverpool U21 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Rochdale, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
History favors Rochdale here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 46.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 21%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%

Rochdale Clean Sheet 10%

Liverpool U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Rochdale	Liverpool U21
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	13	15
Draws	6	3
Losses	10	11
Goals Scored	1.72	2.34
Goals Conceded	1.69	1.83
Expected Goals (xG)	1.48	2.20
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 22, 2026 EFL Trophy

Rochdale vs Liverpool U21

3:4

Sep 20, 2022 EFL Trophy

Rochdale vs Liverpool U21

1:0

Aug 31, 2021 EFL Trophy

Rochdale vs Liverpool U21

4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rochdale Compare

Top Goalscorer Henderson I.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Rodney D.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.74

Liverpool U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Wright W.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Trueman B.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 2

Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rochdale 30 / 100

Liverpool U21 29 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Rochdale Liverpool U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Liverpool U21 Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Liverpool U21 let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Rochdale scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Rochdale went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rochdale VS Liverpool U21

1.38 Goals Scored 2.14

2.25 Goals Conceded 1.57

88% Over 1.5 71%

75% Over 2.5 57%

50% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Rochdale

(Home)

22 Sept

Rochdale

3 : 4

Liverpool U21

19 Sept

Rochdale

2 : 0

Oldham

12 Sept

Walsall

0 : 0

Rochdale

05 Sept

Rochdale

1 : 4

Gillingham

01 Sept

Rochdale

3 : 0

Shrewsbury

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Liverpool U21

(Away)

22 Sept

Rochdale

3 : 4

Liverpool U21

19 Sept

Liverpool U21

5 : 1

Brighton U21

14 Sept

West Ham U21

1 : 0

Liverpool U21

30 Aug

Liverpool U21

2 : 1

Leeds U21

21 Aug

Everton U21

1 : 1

Liverpool U21

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