Sport Picks
Rochdale vs Shrewsbury - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
League Two Spotland Stadium, Rochdale 
Match Events
22'
22'
Sub
Ebanks-Landell E. In: Silcott-Duberry Z.
Out: Ebanks-Landell E.
27'
27'
Anderson T.
33'
33'
Adeeko B.
AI Match Summary
Rochdale in this League Two matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rochdale.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
20%
29%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Rochdale
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Rochdale lately — more wins on the board than Shrewsbury.
- Win probability leans Rochdale's way, sitting at 42%.
- Regular League Two form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Rochdale have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Rochdale Clean Sheet 20%
Shrewsbury Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Rochdale | Shrewsbury |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 9 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 11 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.62 | 0.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.83 | 1.41 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 1, 2026 League Two
Rochdale vs Shrewsbury
3:0
Aug 24, 2021 EFL Cup
Shrewsbury vs Rochdale
0:2
Mar 9, 2021 League One
Rochdale vs Shrewsbury
0:2
Oct 24, 2020 League One
Shrewsbury vs Rochdale
1:2
Feb 1, 2020 League One
Rochdale vs Shrewsbury
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Rochdale Compare
Top Goalscorer Adeeko B.
1 Goals Assists Leader Hannant L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Shrewsbury Compare
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Rochdale 42 / 100
Shrewsbury 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Rochdale Shrewsbury
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Rochdale scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.
Defensive concern: Shrewsbury conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.
Rochdale went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Rochdale VS Shrewsbury
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Rochdale
(Home) 06 Oct
Huddersfield
5 : 0 Rochdale
03 Oct
Rochdale
1 : 0 Swindon
26 Sept
Fleetwood Town
1 : 2 Rochdale
22 Sept
Rochdale
3 : 4 Liverpool U21
19 Sept
Rochdale
2 : 0 Oldham
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Rochdale
1 : 0 Swindon
22 Sept
Rochdale
3 : 4 Liverpool U21
19 Sept
Rochdale
2 : 0 Oldham
05 Sept
Rochdale
1 : 4 Gillingham
01 Sept
Rochdale
3 : 0 Shrewsbury
Page 1 of 3
Shrewsbury
(Away) 06 Oct
Shrewsbury
0 : 2 Stockport County
03 Oct
Grimsby
1 : 2 Shrewsbury
26 Sept
Shrewsbury
2 : 2 Colchester
22 Sept
Tranmere
1 : 0 Shrewsbury
19 Sept
Crewe
1 : 1 Shrewsbury
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Grimsby
1 : 2 Shrewsbury
22 Sept
Tranmere
1 : 0 Shrewsbury
19 Sept
Crewe
1 : 1 Shrewsbury
05 Sept
Fleetwood Town
2 : 0 Shrewsbury
01 Sept
Rochdale
3 : 0 Shrewsbury
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salford | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13:10 | 16 |
| 2 | Barnet | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 17:10 | 15 |
| 3 | Crewe | 9 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 11:7 | 15 |
| 4 | Cheltenham | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 16:14 | 15 |
| 5 | Bristol Rovers | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 14:14 | 15 |
| 6 | York City | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16:10 | 14 |
| 7 | Walsall | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 11:5 | 14 |
| 8 | Chesterfield | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15:12 | 14 |
| 9 | Grimsby | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 13:10 | 13 |
| 10 | Gillingham | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 11:9 | 13 |
| 11 | Rochdale | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 10:11 | 13 |
| 12 | Tranmere | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 12:12 | 11 |
| 13 | Swindon | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9:13 | 11 |
| 14 | Shrewsbury | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9:14 | 11 |
| 15 | Newport | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12:12 | 10 |
| 16 | Accrington | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 13:14 | 10 |
| 17 | Rotherham | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11:12 | 10 |
| 18 | Fleetwood Town | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9:10 | 10 |
| 19 | Colchester | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10:12 | 10 |
| 20 | Exeter | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5:6 | 9 |
| 21 | Oldham | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9:13 | 7 |
| 22 | Northampton | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3:6 | 6 |
| 23 | Port Vale | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3:9 | 5 |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:13 | 4 |
Promotion - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
