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Rochedale vs Magic United TFA FC

Australia Australia

NPL Queensland Underwood Park
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AI Match Summary

Rochedale play Magic United TFA FC in the NPL Queensland. It looks like a close match. Recently, Rochedale averaged 1.54 goals scored and 2.14 conceded. Magic United TFA FC averaged 2.04 goals scored and 2.18 conceded. In past meetings, Rochedale won 1, Magic United TFA FC won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 3, 2026 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.44 for Rochedale and 1.94 for Magic United TFA FC. This points to a Magic United TFA FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Rochedale
15%
Draws
52%
Magic United TFA FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Magic United TFA FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence
  • Rochedale picked up more points recently compared to Magic United TFA FC.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.44 vs 1.94 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 95%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 49%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70%
Rochedale Clean Sheet 10%
Magic United TFA FC Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 86%
Second Half Goal 90%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rochedale Magic United TFA FC
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 8 14
Draws 5 1
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.54 2.04
Goals Conceded 2.14 2.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 3, 2026 NPL Queensland
Rochedale vs Magic United TFA FC
4:0
Sep 13, 2025 Queensland Premier League
Magic United TFA FC vs Rochedale
2:1
Jul 29, 2025 Queensland Premier League
Magic United TFA FC vs Rochedale
2:1
Jul 19, 2025 Queensland Premier League
Rochedale vs Magic United TFA FC
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rochedale Compare

Top Goalscorer Kljajic O.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Roberts M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Magic United TFA FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rochedale 32 / 100
Magic United TFA FC 49 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rochedale Magic United TFA FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Magic United TFA FC or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +32%
4.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.2%
1.32
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Rochedale attacking → ← attacking Magic United TFA FC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rochedale scored in 89% of their last 28 games.

Magic United TFA FC let in goals in 89% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.75 goals.

Rochedale went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Magic United TFA FC lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

29 Points in last 5 43
1.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.88
2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Peninsula18133243:2042
2Queensland Lions17122348:2038
3Moreton City Excelsior17102543:2532
4Gold Coast Knights SC16102440:2532
5Eastern Suburbs1791732:2628
6Brisbane City1775538:3926
7Wynnum Wolves1875629:3426
8Olympic FC1762931:3520
9Rochedale18431127:4515
10Brisbane Roar U2318411326:4313
11Magic United TFA FC17411221:5013
12Gold Coast Utd16311219:3510