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Rochedale U23 vs QLD State Team U17 Prediction & H2H Stats

Australia Australia

NPL Queensland U23
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AI Match Summary

Rochedale U23 in this NPL Queensland U23 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rochedale U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Rochedale U23
15%
Draws
24%
QLD State Team U17
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rochedale U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • QLD State Team U17 haven't matched Rochedale U23's recent run of results.
  • Rochedale U23 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Rochedale U23 Clean Sheet 10%
QLD State Team U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rochedale U23 QLD State Team U17
Matches Played 24 22
Wins 18 8
Draws 2 1
Losses 4 13
Goals Scored 2.75 2.09
Goals Conceded 1.17 2.59
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 NPL Queensland U23
QLD State Team U17 vs Rochedale U23
1:3
Mar 14, 2026 NPL Queensland U23
Rochedale U23 vs QLD State Team U17
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rochedale U23 83 / 100
QLD State Team U17 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rochedale U23 QLD State Team U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rochedale U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rochedale U23 scored in 96% of their last 24 games.

Defensive concern: QLD State Team U17 conceded in 91% of 22 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Rochedale U23 remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Rochedale U23 VS QLD State Team U17
2.38 Goals Scored 2.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
88% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Rochedale U23

(Home)
13 Sept
Rochedale U23
2 : 0
Moreton City Excelsior U23
28 Aug
Rochedale U23
3 : 1
Moreton City Excelsior U23
16 Aug
Olympic FC U23
1 : 3
Rochedale U23
08 Aug
Magic United TFA FC U23
1 : 4
Rochedale U23
01 Aug
Rochedale U23
3 : 1
Eastern Suburbs U23
Page 1 of 5

QLD State Team U17

(Away)
16 Aug
QLD State Team U17
3 : 4
Gold Coast Knights SC U23
08 Aug
Queensland Lions U23
2 : 1
QLD State Team U17
02 Aug
QLD State Team U17
4 : 3
Moreton City Excelsior U23
19 Jul
Olympic FC U23
1 : 2
QLD State Team U17
14 Jul
Moreton City Excelsior U23
1 : 0
QLD State Team U17
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rochedale U23 22 16 2 4 61:27 50
2 Moreton City Excelsior U23 22 14 2 6 60:31 44
3 Queensland Lions U23 22 13 5 4 52:24 44
4 Gold Coast Knights SC U23 22 14 1 7 58:39 43
5 Gold Coast U23 22 13 2 7 52:45 41
6 Eastern Suburbs U23 22 9 4 9 43:32 31
7 QLD State Team U17 22 8 1 13 46:57 25
8 Brisbane City U23 22 7 3 12 42:54 24
9 Olympic FC U23 22 7 2 13 35:55 23
10 Wynnum Wolves U23 22 6 3 13 29:52 21
11 Peninsula U23 22 6 2 14 36:57 20
12 Magic United TFA FC U23 22 5 1 16 27:68 16
Promotion - NPL Queensland U23 (Play Offs)