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Rochedale vs Gold Coast Knights SC Prediction & H2H Stats

Australia Australia

NPL Queensland Underwood Park, Rochedale
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Kljajic N.
44' Event
McGregor A.
67' Event
Alexeenko A.

AI Match Summary

Rochedale in this NPL Queensland matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rochedale.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Rochedale
20%
Draws
36%
Gold Coast Knights SC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Rochedale

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Rochedale haven't matched Gold Coast Knights SC's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Rochedale a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular NPL Queensland form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Rochedale Clean Sheet 11%
Gold Coast Knights SC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rochedale Gold Coast Knights SC
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 10 17
Draws 4 6
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 1.6 1.85
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 26, 2026 NPL Queensland
Rochedale vs Gold Coast Knights SC
4:1
Apr 10, 2026 NPL Queensland
Gold Coast Knights SC vs Rochedale
1:1
Jun 15, 2024 NPL Queensland
Rochedale vs Gold Coast Knights SC
1:2
Mar 15, 2024 NPL Queensland
Gold Coast Knights SC vs Rochedale
2:0
Aug 26, 2023 NPL Queensland
Rochedale vs Gold Coast Knights SC
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rochedale Compare

Top Goalscorer Kljajic N.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Alexeenko A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Gold Coast Knights SC Compare

Top Goalscorer McGregor A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rochedale 35 / 100
Gold Coast Knights SC 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rochedale Gold Coast Knights SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rochedale scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

Gold Coast Knights SC let in goals in 82% of their last 34 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Rochedale stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rochedale VS Gold Coast Knights SC
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Rochedale

(Home)
14 Aug
Olympic FC
1 : 2
Rochedale
08 Aug
Magic United TFA FC
2 : 1
Rochedale
31 Jul
Rochedale
2 : 1
Eastern Suburbs
18 Jul
Rochedale
2 : 3
Brisbane City
14 Jul
Rochedale
1 : 2
SD Raiders
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Gold Coast Knights SC

(Away)
29 Aug
Moreton City Excelsior
2 : 0
Gold Coast Knights SC
14 Aug
Brisbane Roar U23
1 : 2
Gold Coast Knights SC
08 Aug
Gold Coast Knights SC
2 : 2
Peninsula
01 Aug
Gold Coast Utd
1 : 0
Gold Coast Knights SC
25 Jul
Gold Coast Knights SC
1 : 1
Gold Coast Utd
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Queensland Lions 22 17 2 3 57:22 53
2 Peninsula 22 13 6 3 49:27 45
3 Moreton City Excelsior 22 12 3 7 51:35 39
4 Gold Coast Knights SC 22 11 5 6 46:32 38
5 Brisbane City 22 9 7 6 47:48 34
6 Wynnum Wolves 22 9 6 7 36:40 33
7 Eastern Suburbs 22 9 2 11 34:35 29
8 Olympic FC 22 8 2 12 39:43 26
9 Magic United TFA FC 22 7 1 14 33:59 22
10 Rochedale 22 6 3 13 34:52 21
11 Gold Coast Utd 22 6 2 14 26:39 20
12 Brisbane Roar U23 22 5 1 16 32:52 16
Promotion - NPL Queensland (Play Offs)
Relegation - Queensland Premier League (Main)