Sport Picks
Rochedale vs Moreton City Excelsior
Australia
NPL Queensland Underwood Park, Rochedale 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The NPL Queensland game between Rochedale and Moreton City Excelsior finished 2-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Moreton City Excelsior.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Moreton City Excelsior come out ahead of Rochedale on wins alone.
- Model gives Moreton City Excelsior a 60% chance of winning this.
- Regular NPL Queensland form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Moreton City Excelsior have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Rochedale | Moreton City Excelsior |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 34 |
| Wins | 8 | 19 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 17 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.88 | 1.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.00 | 2.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Rochedale Compare
Moreton City Excelsior Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Rochedale's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
These sides typically produce 4.25 goals when they meet.
Defensive concern: Moreton City Excelsior conceded in 74% of 34 recent games.
Solid form: Rochedale remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Rochedale
(Home)Moreton City Excelsior
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Queensland Lions | 19 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 50:20 | 44 |
| 2 | Peninsula | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 45:22 | 43 |
| 3 | Moreton City Excelsior | 19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 49:30 | 36 |
| 4 | Gold Coast Knights SC | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 41:27 | 33 |
| 5 | Brisbane City | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 41:41 | 30 |
| 6 | Wynnum Wolves | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 31:35 | 29 |
| 7 | Eastern Suburbs | 19 | 9 | 1 | 9 | 33:31 | 28 |
| 8 | Olympic FC | 19 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 34:39 | 23 |
| 9 | Magic United TFA FC | 19 | 5 | 1 | 13 | 28:55 | 16 |
| 10 | Rochedale | 19 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 29:48 | 15 |
| 11 | Gold Coast Utd | 18 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 22:36 | 13 |
| 12 | Brisbane Roar U23 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 27:46 | 13 |