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Rochester FC vs RKC SC

USA USA

USL League Two
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Rochester FC in this USL League Two matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rochester FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Rochester FC
15%
Draws
57%
RKC SC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: RKC SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to RKC SC lately — more wins on the board than Rochester FC.
  • RKC SC are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Rochester FC Clean Sheet 10%
RKC SC Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rochester FC RKC SC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 14
Draws 1 6
Losses 19 10
Goals Scored 1.27 2.03
Goals Conceded 2.27 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 17, 2026 USL League Two
Rochester FC vs RKC SC
2:1
Jun 22, 2025 USL League Two
RKC SC vs Rochester FC
3:2
Jun 4, 2025 USL League Two
Rochester FC vs RKC SC
2:1
Jul 4, 2024 USL League Two
RKC SC vs Rochester FC
4:0
Jun 16, 2024 USL League Two
Rochester FC vs RKC SC
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rochester FC 14 / 100
RKC SC 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rochester FC RKC SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RKC SC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Rochester FC's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

RKC SC let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Away concern: RKC SC has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Rochester FC VS RKC SC
0.63 Goals Scored 0.88
2.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Rochester FC

(Home)
09 Jul
Rochester FC
1 : 3
St. Croix
07 Jul
Rochester FC
0 : 4
Minneapolis City
02 Jul
Rochester FC
0 : 4
Chicago Dutch Lions
27 Jun
Rochester FC
0 : 2
Rockford Raptors
17 Jun
Rochester FC
2 : 1
RKC SC
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RKC SC

(Away)
12 Jul
RKC SC
5 : 1
River Light
09 Jul
RKC SC
4 : 2
Chicago Dutch Lions
02 Jul
Sueno
5 : 1
RKC SC
25 Jun
Minneapolis City
3 : 1
RKC SC
21 Jun
Chicago Dutch Lions
2 : 0
RKC SC
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