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Rockdale Ilinden vs APIA Leichhardt

Australia Australia

NPL NSW Rockdale Ilinden Sports Centre
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Match Events

86' Event
Konestabo M. S.

AI Match Summary

APIA Leichhardt in this NPL NSW matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored APIA Leichhardt.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Rockdale Ilinden
6%
Draws
4%
APIA Leichhardt
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Rockdale Ilinden

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to APIA Leichhardt lately — more wins on the board than Rockdale Ilinden.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Rockdale Ilinden taking it.
  • Regular NPL NSW form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and APIA Leichhardt have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Rockdale Ilinden Clean Sheet 16%
APIA Leichhardt Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rockdale Ilinden APIA Leichhardt
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 22
Draws 5 3
Losses 10 4
Goals Scored 1.25 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2026 NPL NSW
APIA Leichhardt vs Rockdale Ilinden
0:2
Mar 14, 2026 NPL NSW
Rockdale Ilinden vs APIA Leichhardt
0:1
Sep 13, 2025 NPL NSW
Rockdale Ilinden vs APIA Leichhardt
1:2
Jul 13, 2025 NPL NSW
Rockdale Ilinden vs APIA Leichhardt
1:4
Mar 30, 2025 NPL NSW
APIA Leichhardt vs Rockdale Ilinden
4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rockdale Ilinden Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

APIA Leichhardt Compare

Top Goalscorer Konestabo M. S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rockdale Ilinden 84 / 100
APIA Leichhardt 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rockdale Ilinden APIA Leichhardt

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ROC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Rockdale Ilinden's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: APIA Leichhardt conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Rockdale Ilinden went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rockdale Ilinden VS APIA Leichhardt
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Marconi Stallions23174245:1455
2APIA Leichhardt24173452:3054
3Sydney Utd23153534:1748
4Rockdale Ilinden24123942:3339
5Sutherland Sharks241131037:3136
6Sydney FC U2324105932:3435
7Wollongong24951028:3232
8UNSW24941135:3631
9NWS Spirit24941128:3031
10Manly Utd2487925:2931
11Western Sydney Wanderers U2124851145:3929
12SD Raiders24851133:4129
13St. George City23671022:3725
14Blacktown City23571130:3922
15St George Saints24611723:4519
16Sydney Olympic24541526:5019