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Rockdale Ilinden vs Blacktown City

Australia Australia

NPL NSW Rockdale Ilinden Sports Centre
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Adam M.
45' Event
Skataric N.
49' Event
Wiggin O.

AI Match Summary

Rockdale Ilinden in this NPL NSW matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rockdale Ilinden.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Rockdale Ilinden
6%
Draws
4%
Blacktown City
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Rockdale Ilinden

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Rockdale Ilinden lately — more wins on the board than Blacktown City.
  • Model gives Rockdale Ilinden a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular NPL NSW form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Rockdale Ilinden have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Rockdale Ilinden Clean Sheet 20%
Blacktown City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rockdale Ilinden Blacktown City
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 7
Draws 6 9
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.5 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 7, 2026 NPL NSW
Blacktown City vs Rockdale Ilinden
1:2
Feb 21, 2026 NPL NSW
Rockdale Ilinden vs Blacktown City
3:2
Sep 3, 2025 NPL NSW
Rockdale Ilinden vs Blacktown City
1:0
Jul 6, 2025 NPL NSW
Blacktown City vs Rockdale Ilinden
1:3
Mar 22, 2025 NPL NSW
Rockdale Ilinden vs Blacktown City
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rockdale Ilinden Compare

Top Goalscorer Adam M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wiggin O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Blacktown City Compare

Top Goalscorer Skataric N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jez M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rockdale Ilinden 85 / 100
Blacktown City 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rockdale Ilinden Blacktown City

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ROC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Rockdale Ilinden scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Blacktown City's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Rockdale Ilinden has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Rockdale Ilinden VS Blacktown City
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Marconi Stallions23174245:1455
2APIA Leichhardt23163447:2751
3Sydney Utd23153534:1748
4Rockdale Ilinden23113936:3236
5Sutherland Sharks231121036:3035
6Sydney FC U2324105932:3435
7Wollongong2395926:2932
8NWS Spirit23941027:2731
9Manly Utd2487925:2931
10Western Sydney Wanderers U2123851042:3429
11UNSW23841132:3528
12SD Raiders23751130:3926
13St. George City23671022:3725
14Blacktown City23571130:3922
15St George Saints23611622:3919
16Sydney Olympic23531525:4918