Sport Picks

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Rockdale Ilinden vs Blacktown City

Australia Australia

NPL NSW 2025 Rockdale Ilinden Sports Centre, Sydney
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Danzo I.

AI Match Summary

Rockdale Ilinden in this NPL NSW 2025 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Rockdale Ilinden
30%
Draws
34%
Blacktown City
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Rockdale Ilinden

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Blacktown City haven't matched Rockdale Ilinden's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Rockdale Ilinden a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Rockdale Ilinden have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Rockdale Ilinden, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Rockdale Ilinden have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Rockdale Ilinden Clean Sheet 19%
Blacktown City Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rockdale Ilinden Blacktown City
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 9
Draws 4 8
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.25 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 7, 2026 NPL NSW
Blacktown City vs Rockdale Ilinden
1:2
Feb 21, 2026 NPL NSW
Rockdale Ilinden vs Blacktown City
3:2
Sep 3, 2025 NPL NSW
Rockdale Ilinden vs Blacktown City
1:0
Jul 6, 2025 NPL NSW
Blacktown City vs Rockdale Ilinden
1:3
Mar 22, 2025 NPL NSW
Rockdale Ilinden vs Blacktown City
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rockdale Ilinden Compare

Top Goalscorer Danzo I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Blacktown City Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rockdale Ilinden 36 / 100
Blacktown City 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rockdale Ilinden Blacktown City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Rockdale Ilinden scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Blacktown City conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: Rockdale Ilinden remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Rockdale Ilinden VS Blacktown City
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Rockdale Ilinden

(Home)
26 Jul
Rockdale Ilinden
1 : 3
Sutherland Sharks
18 Jul
St George Saints
1 : 6
Rockdale Ilinden
12 Jul
Sydney Utd
1 : 0
Rockdale Ilinden
05 Jul
Rockdale Ilinden
1 : 1
NWS Spirit
28 Jun
APIA Leichhardt
0 : 2
Rockdale Ilinden
Page 1 of 6

Blacktown City

(Away)
26 Jul
Wollongong
0 : 2
Blacktown City
19 Jul
Blacktown City
3 : 0
St. George City
11 Jul
SD Raiders
1 : 3
Blacktown City
05 Jul
Blacktown City
0 : 0
Sydney Utd
28 Jun
Marconi Stallions
2 : 0
Blacktown City
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
NWS Spirit-
TBD-
Rockdale Ilinden1
Blacktown City0
APIA Leichhardt-
TBD-
Marconi Stallions2
Sydney Utd1
Semi-finals
NWS Spirit1
Rockdale Ilinden2
APIA Leichhardt2
Marconi Stallions0
Final
Rockdale Ilinden1
APIA Leichhardt2