Sport Picks
Rockdale Ilinden vs Wollongong - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Australia
NPL NSW Rockdale Ilinden Sports Centre, Sydney 
Match Events
15'
15'
Butkovic K.
46'
46'
Najjar M.
90'
90'
Fujita Y.
AI Match Summary
The NPL NSW game between Rockdale Ilinden and Wollongong finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Wollongong.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
15%
51%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Wollongong
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Rockdale Ilinden carry the better recent record into this one.
- Rockdale Ilinden are the model's pick here, at 36%.
- Regular NPL NSW form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Rockdale Ilinden Clean Sheet 18%
Wollongong Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Rockdale Ilinden | Wollongong |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 11 |
| Draws | 4 | 5 |
| Losses | 14 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.53 | 1.21 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.47 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 16, 2026 NPL NSW
Rockdale Ilinden vs Wollongong
1:2
May 3, 2026 NPL NSW
Wollongong vs Rockdale Ilinden
2:2
Jun 21, 2025 NPL NSW
Wollongong vs Rockdale Ilinden
1:3
Mar 8, 2025 NPL NSW
Rockdale Ilinden vs Wollongong
1:1
Aug 4, 2024 NPL NSW
Wollongong vs Rockdale Ilinden
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Rockdale Ilinden Compare
Top Goalscorer Najjar M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
Wollongong Compare
Top Goalscorer Butkovic K.
1 Goals Assists Leader Fujita Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Rockdale Ilinden 36 / 100
Wollongong 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Rockdale Ilinden Wollongong
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.
Rockdale Ilinden's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Wollongong let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.
Wollongong's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Rockdale Ilinden VS Wollongong
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Rockdale Ilinden
(Home) 30 Aug
Rockdale Ilinden
2 : 0 UNSW
21 Aug
Sydney FC U23
2 : 1 Rockdale Ilinden
16 Aug
Rockdale Ilinden
1 : 2 Wollongong
08 Aug
St. George City
1 : 0 Rockdale Ilinden
02 Aug
Rockdale Ilinden
1 : 1 Manly Utd
Page 1 of 6
30 Aug
Rockdale Ilinden
2 : 0 UNSW
16 Aug
Rockdale Ilinden
1 : 2 Wollongong
02 Aug
Rockdale Ilinden
1 : 1 Manly Utd
26 Jul
Rockdale Ilinden
1 : 3 Sutherland Sharks
05 Jul
Rockdale Ilinden
1 : 1 NWS Spirit
Page 1 of 3
Wollongong
(Away) 30 Aug
Wollongong
0 : 4 Manly Utd
23 Aug
Wollongong
3 : 0 Western Sydney Wanderers U21
16 Aug
Rockdale Ilinden
1 : 2 Wollongong
09 Aug
Wollongong
1 : 2 Sydney Utd
01 Aug
Sutherland Sharks
2 : 1 Wollongong
Page 1 of 6
16 Aug
Rockdale Ilinden
1 : 2 Wollongong
01 Aug
Sutherland Sharks
2 : 1 Wollongong
11 Jul
Sydney Olympic
3 : 2 Wollongong
27 Jun
NWS Spirit
2 : 0 Wollongong
07 Jun
Marconi Stallions
1 : 0 Wollongong
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | APIA Leichhardt | 30 | 21 | 5 | 4 | 66:35 | 68 |
| 2 | Sydney Utd | 30 | 20 | 4 | 6 | 47:20 | 64 |
| 3 | Marconi Stallions | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 50:22 | 62 |
| 4 | Sutherland Sharks | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 46:38 | 46 |
| 5 | Manly Utd | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 39:35 | 44 |
| 6 | NWS Spirit | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 37:38 | 41 |
| 7 | SD Raiders | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 44:49 | 41 |
| 8 | Sydney FC U23 | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 38:43 | 41 |
| 9 | Rockdale Ilinden | 30 | 12 | 4 | 14 | 46:44 | 40 |
| 10 | Western Sydney Wanderers U21 | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 55:49 | 38 |
| 11 | Wollongong | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 35:43 | 38 |
| 12 | St. George City | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 30:46 | 37 |
| 13 | Blacktown City | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 43:46 | 35 |
| 14 | UNSW | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 38:49 | 32 |
| 15 | St George Saints | 30 | 8 | 3 | 19 | 28:55 | 27 |
| 16 | Sydney Olympic | 30 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 32:62 | 23 |
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Relegation - NPL NSW (Relegation)
Relegation - NSW League One 2027 (Main)
