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Rockmount vs Portmarnock

Ireland Ireland

FAI Cup 2004/2005
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Rockmount in this FAI Cup 2004/2005 tie, finishing 3-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Rockmount
15%
Draws
21%
Portmarnock
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rockmount

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

21% / Low Confidence
  • Rockmount have won more games recently than Portmarnock.
  • 21% — that's where the model lands on Portmarnock taking it.
  • Rockmount have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Rockmount, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 22.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Rockmount Clean Sheet 18%
Portmarnock Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rockmount Portmarnock
Matches Played 16 8
Wins 3 0
Draws 2 1
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 0.88 0.75
Goals Conceded 2.75 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.40 1.34
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2004 FAI Cup
Rockmount vs Portmarnock
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rockmount 10 / 100
Portmarnock 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rockmount Portmarnock

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Portmarnock Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portmarnock has conceded goals in 100% of their last 8 outings.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Portmarnock's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Rockmount found the back of the net in 56% of recent matches (16 games).

Scoring Trends

Rockmount VS Portmarnock
1 Goals Scored 0.8
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.8
88% Over 1.5 80%
63% Over 2.5 40%
25% Over 3.5 20%

Recent Form & Match History

Rockmount

(Home)
19 May
Ballyfermot
3 : 0
Rockmount
18 Aug
Bohemians
6 : 0
Rockmount
22 Jul
Gorey Rangers
1 : 2
Rockmount
19 Apr
Maynooth University
5 : 1
Rockmount
02 Apr
Pike Rovers
1 : 0
Rockmount
Page 1 of 4

Portmarnock

(Away)
18 Nov
Killester Donnycarney
3 : 2
Portmarnock
09 Jul
Portmarnock
0 : 1
Oxford Utd
13 Aug
Portmarnock
0 : 2
St. Patricks
24 Apr
Letterkenny Rovers
2 : 1
Portmarnock
10 Apr
Portmarnock
1 : 1
Letterkenny Rovers
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Waterford 2
Sligo Rovers 1
Bray 0
Kilkenny City 2
Monaghan United 1
Dublin City 0
Portmarnock 1
Rockmount 3
Kildare County 4
Glebe North 0
Ringmahon Rangers 0
Bohemians 8
Shelbourne 4
Finn Harps 1
Galway United 0
Derry City 1
Drogheda 3
Dundalk 2
Wayside Celtic 1
St. Patricks 4
Drumcondra FC 3
Quay Celtic 4
Cork City 0
UC Dublin 1
Athlone 3
Tullamore 0
Limerick 5
Cobh Ramblers 6
Shamrock Rovers 3
Carrick Utd 0
Leeds Cork 0
Longford 3
1/8-finals
Waterford 7
Kilkenny City 2
Monaghan United 0
Rockmount 2
Kildare County 1
Bohemians 0
Shelbourne 1
Derry City 2
Drogheda 2
St. Patricks 0
Drumcondra FC 0
UC Dublin 5
Athlone 1
Cobh Ramblers 0
Shamrock Rovers 1
Longford 2
Quarter-finals
Waterford 4
Rockmount 3
Kildare County 0
Derry City 1
Drogheda 2
UC Dublin 1
Athlone 2
Longford 5
Semi-finals
Waterford 2
Derry City 1
Drogheda 1
Longford 2
Final
Waterford 1
Longford 2