Sport Picks
Roda vs Helmond Sport - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Netherlands
Eerste Divisie Parkstad Limburg Stadion, Kerkrade 
Match Events
18'
18'
Lantaki W.
24'
24'
Bajrami L.
33'
33'
Jansen K.
Own Goal
AI Match Summary
Roda in this Eerste Divisie matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Roda.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
69%
15%
16%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Roda
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
69%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Roda lately — more wins on the board than Helmond Sport.
- Model gives Roda a 69% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Roda Clean Sheet 19%
Helmond Sport Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Roda | Helmond Sport |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 12 | 5 |
| Draws | 8 | 7 |
| Losses | 8 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.57 | 1.21 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 1.82 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.94 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 14, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Roda vs Helmond Sport
2:1
Mar 20, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Roda vs Helmond Sport
1:1
Aug 10, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Helmond Sport vs Roda
1:3
Mar 11, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Roda vs Helmond Sport
3:2
Oct 21, 2024 Eerste Divisie
Helmond Sport vs Roda
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Roda Compare
Top Goalscorer Tol M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Beerten L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97
Helmond Sport Compare
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Roda 85 / 100
Helmond Sport 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Roda Helmond Sport
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Roda Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Helmond Sport let in goals in 89% of their last 28 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Roda stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Roda scored in 79% of their last 28 games.
Scoring Trends
Roda VS Helmond Sport
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.63
63% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Roda
(Home) 30 Oct
Roda
2 : 1 Jong AZ Alkmaar
27 Oct
Roda
1 : 0 De Graafschap
23 Oct
Almere City
2 : 3 Roda
19 Oct
Jong Utrecht
1 : 2 Roda
09 Oct
Roda
1 : 1 Jong PSV
Page 1 of 6
30 Oct
Roda
2 : 1 Jong AZ Alkmaar
27 Oct
Roda
1 : 0 De Graafschap
09 Oct
Roda
1 : 1 Jong PSV
26 Sept
Roda
2 : 0 Waalwijk
12 Sept
Roda
1 : 0 Vitesse
Page 1 of 3
Helmond Sport
(Away) 30 Oct
Helmond Sport
3 : 2 Eindhoven FC
27 Oct
Helmond Sport
3 : 4 Willem II
23 Oct
Jong AZ Alkmaar
5 : 4 Helmond Sport
16 Oct
Helmond Sport
0 : 2 NAC Breda
09 Oct
TOP Oss
3 : 1 Helmond Sport
Page 1 of 6
23 Oct
Jong AZ Alkmaar
5 : 4 Helmond Sport
09 Oct
TOP Oss
3 : 1 Helmond Sport
26 Sept
Maastricht
2 : 0 Helmond Sport
18 Sept
Den Bosch
2 : 1 Helmond Sport
28 Aug
Jong Ajax
3 : 2 Helmond Sport
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heracles | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 39:14 | 32 |
| 2 | Venlo | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 36:21 | 28 |
| 3 | Almere City | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 27:13 | 25 |
| 4 | Roda | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 17:12 | 25 |
| 5 | FC Emmen | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 26:24 | 25 |
| 6 | NAC Breda | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 25:20 | 24 |
| 7 | FC Volendam | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 30:22 | 19 |
| 8 | Den Bosch | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 23:21 | 18 |
| 9 | Vitesse | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 17:18 | 18 |
| 10 | Jong AZ Alkmaar | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 32:28 | 17 |
| 11 | Maastricht | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 17:29 | 17 |
| 12 | Waalwijk | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 22:19 | 16 |
| 13 | Jong PSV | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 17:21 | 16 |
| 14 | De Graafschap | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17:27 | 15 |
| 15 | TOP Oss | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 19:22 | 13 |
| 16 | Jong Ajax | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 19:30 | 13 |
| 17 | Helmond Sport | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 23:28 | 12 |
| 18 | Eindhoven FC | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 18:28 | 11 |
| 19 | Dordrecht | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 18:34 | 11 |
| 20 | Jong Utrecht | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 22:33 | 10 |
Promotion - Eredivisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)
