Sport Picks
Roda vs Jong AZ Alkmaar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Netherlands
Eerste Divisie Parkstad Limburg Stadion, Kerkrade 
AI Match Summary
Roda host Jong AZ Alkmaar in the Eerste Divisie. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Roda have averaged 1.44 scored and 1.11 conceded recently, against Jong AZ Alkmaar's 2.19 scored and 1.81 conceded. Head-to-head, Roda have won 0 to Jong AZ Alkmaar's 4, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 24, 2026, ending 2:0. xG projections (1.50 - 1.50) back Jong AZ Alkmaar to edge this. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Jong AZ Alkmaar carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Roda a 42% chance of winning this.
- Regular Eerste Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Jong AZ Alkmaar here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Roda | Jong AZ Alkmaar |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 27 |
| Wins | 9 | 12 |
| Draws | 9 | 4 |
| Losses | 9 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.44 | 2.19 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.11 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Jong AZ Alkmaar conceded in 89% of 27 recent games.
Games between these two average 4.20 goals.
Attacking prowess: Roda scored in 74% of their last 27 outings.
Roda has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Roda
(Home)Jong AZ Alkmaar
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heracles | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 36:13 | 28 |
| 2 | Almere City | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 23:9 | 22 |
| 3 | Venlo | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 30:18 | 22 |
| 4 | FC Emmen | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 24:19 | 22 |
| 5 | NAC Breda | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 22:19 | 20 |
| 6 | Roda | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 12:9 | 19 |
| 7 | Vitesse | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 16:15 | 17 |
| 8 | FC Volendam | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 23:18 | 16 |
| 9 | Maastricht | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 14:25 | 16 |
| 10 | Waalwijk | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 20:16 | 15 |
| 11 | Jong AZ Alkmaar | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 26:22 | 14 |
| 12 | Den Bosch | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 16:19 | 14 |
| 13 | Jong PSV | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 15:18 | 13 |
| 14 | TOP Oss | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 16:17 | 12 |
| 15 | Eindhoven FC | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 15:23 | 11 |
| 16 | Jong Ajax | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 15:26 | 11 |
| 17 | De Graafschap | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 14:25 | 11 |
| 18 | Dordrecht | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 14:27 | 11 |
| 19 | Helmond Sport | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 16:21 | 9 |
| 20 | Jong Utrecht | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 17:25 | 7 |
