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Roda vs Jong PSV - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Eerste Divisie Parkstad Limburg Stadion, Kerkrade
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Marsman B. In: Seedorf C.
Out: Marsman B.
46'
Sub
van den Berg X. In: Paulissen M.
Out: van den Berg X.
66'
Sub
Jansen K. In: Khoums R.
Out: Jansen K.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Eerste Divisie matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Roda
35%
Draws
25%
Jong PSV
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Roda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Jong PSV have won more games recently than Roda.
  • Model gives Roda a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Roda Clean Sheet 20%
Jong PSV Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Roda Jong PSV
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 11
Draws 11 6
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.45 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 9, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Roda vs Jong PSV
1:1
Mar 6, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Roda vs Jong PSV
0:2
Sep 15, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Jong PSV vs Roda
0:1
Jul 18, 2025 Club Friendly
Jong PSV vs Roda
1:1
Mar 7, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Roda vs Jong PSV
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Roda Compare

Top Goalscorer Paulissen M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Jong PSV Compare

Top Goalscorer Jones A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Roda 49 / 100
Jong PSV 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Roda Jong PSV

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Roda Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jong PSV's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Roda found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (31 games).

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Roda stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Roda VS Jong PSV
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Roda

(Home)
09 Oct
Roda
1 : 1
Jong PSV
04 Oct
Venlo
2 : 0
Roda
26 Sept
Roda
2 : 0
Waalwijk
18 Sept
Jong Ajax
0 : 0
Roda
12 Sept
Roda
1 : 0
Vitesse
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Jong PSV

(Away)
09 Oct
Roda
1 : 1
Jong PSV
19 Sept
Vitesse
3 : 1
Jong PSV
14 Sept
Jong PSV
1 : 1
Jong AZ Alkmaar
11 Sept
Helmond Sport
3 : 1
Jong PSV
07 Sept
Jong PSV
3 : 1
Den Bosch
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Heracles 10 8 1 1 31:12 25
2 Almere City 10 7 1 2 22:7 22
3 Venlo 10 7 0 3 26:14 21
4 FC Emmen 10 6 1 3 22:18 19
5 NAC Breda 10 5 2 3 20:19 17
6 Roda 10 4 4 2 10:8 16
7 Maastricht 10 5 1 4 13:20 16
8 FC Volendam 10 5 0 5 22:17 15
9 Waalwijk 10 3 5 2 19:15 14
10 Vitesse 10 4 2 4 15:15 14
11 Jong AZ Alkmaar 10 4 1 5 22:18 13
12 Jong PSV 10 3 4 3 15:17 13
13 TOP Oss 10 4 0 6 15:15 12
14 Den Bosch 10 3 2 5 14:18 11
15 Eindhoven FC 10 3 2 5 15:22 11
16 De Graafschap 10 3 2 5 13:23 11
17 Helmond Sport 10 2 3 5 16:19 9
18 Jong Ajax 10 2 2 6 13:25 8
19 Dordrecht 10 2 2 6 13:27 8
20 Jong Utrecht 10 2 1 7 16:23 7
Promotion - Eredivisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)