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Roda vs La Nucia

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 6 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

85' Event
Meseguer C.

AI Match Summary

La Nucia in this Tercera RFEF - Group 6 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored La Nucia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Roda
20%
Draws
52%
La Nucia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: La Nucia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to La Nucia lately — more wins on the board than Roda.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 48%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Roda Clean Sheet 20%
La Nucia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Roda La Nucia
Matches Played 31 34
Wins 10 18
Draws 5 12
Losses 16 4
Goals Scored 0.67 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.83 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.67 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.83 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Roda vs La Nucia
0:1
Sep 6, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
La Nucia vs Roda
1:1
May 4, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Roda vs La Nucia
0:0
Dec 22, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
La Nucia vs Roda
2:3
Apr 20, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
La Nucia vs Roda
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Roda Compare

Avg xG / game 0.52
Avg xA / game 0.34

La Nucia Compare

Top Goalscorer Meseguer C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Roda 32 / 100
La Nucia 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Roda La Nucia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LAN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Roda scored in 61% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

La Nucia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 44% of 34 matches.

Roda has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Roda VS La Nucia
0.67 Goals Scored 1.63
0.83 Goals Conceded 0.75
33% Over 1.5 63%
17% Over 2.5 50%
17% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Roda

(Home)
09 May
Crevillente
2 : 0
Roda
02 May
Roda
0 : 1
Soneja
26 Apr
CD Bunol
0 : 1
Roda
18 Apr
Roda
3 : 1
Utiel
12 Apr
Vall de Uxo
1 : 0
Roda
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La Nucia

(Away)
05 Aug
La Nucia
1 : 0
CF Intercity
20 Jun
La Nucia
1 : 0
Trival Valderas
14 Jun
Trival Valderas
0 : 0
La Nucia
07 Jun
Levante B
1 : 1
La Nucia
31 May
La Nucia
1 : 0
Levante B
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Castellonense 34 20 7 7 56:30 67
2 Atletico Saguntino 34 20 6 8 50:30 66
3 Levante B 34 18 11 5 54:26 65
4 Villarreal C 34 19 6 9 63:36 63
5 La Nucia 34 16 13 5 44:26 61
6 CD Bunol 34 13 11 10 34:40 50
7 Vall de Uxo 34 13 10 11 31:29 49
8 Ontinyent 1931 CF 34 13 9 12 32:30 48
9 Torrellano 34 13 8 13 40:38 47
10 Soneja 34 13 6 15 35:42 45
11 Hercules B 34 10 11 13 31:46 41
12 Roda 34 11 7 16 32:45 40
13 Crevillente 34 9 11 14 44:49 38
14 Espanol de San Vicente 34 10 8 16 35:44 38
15 Atzeneta 34 10 7 17 29:39 37
16 Utiel 34 7 10 17 30:45 31
17 Alzira 34 7 10 17 32:49 31
18 Recambios Colon 34 2 13 19 27:55 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 6 2025/2026 (Play Offs)