Sport Picks
Match Events
33'
33'
Tol M.
Assist: Paulissen M.
40'
40'
Soumano M.
Assist: Van Hecke J.
53'
53'
Verrips M.
AI Match Summary
The Eerste Divisie game between Roda and NAC Breda finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
30%
39%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: NAC Breda
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- NAC Breda carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
- Regular Eerste Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Roda Clean Sheet 16%
NAC Breda Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Roda | NAC Breda |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 11 |
| Draws | 10 | 6 |
| Losses | 9 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.46 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.11 | 1.83 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 28, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Roda vs NAC Breda
2:2
May 17, 2024 Eerste Divisie
Roda vs NAC Breda
0:5
May 13, 2024 Eerste Divisie
NAC Breda vs Roda
3:1
Mar 23, 2024 Eerste Divisie
Roda vs NAC Breda
3:1
Sep 9, 2023 Eerste Divisie
NAC Breda vs Roda
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Roda Compare
Top Goalscorer Tol M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
NAC Breda Compare
Top Goalscorer Soumano M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Gladon P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Roda 31 / 100
NAC Breda 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Roda NAC Breda
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
NAC Breda let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.
Roda scored in 75% of their last 28 games.
Roda went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Roda VS NAC Breda
1.13 Goals Scored 2.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Roda
(Home) 09 Oct
Roda
1 : 1 Jong PSV
04 Oct
Venlo
2 : 0 Roda
26 Sept
Roda
2 : 0 Waalwijk
18 Sept
Jong Ajax
0 : 0 Roda
12 Sept
Roda
1 : 0 Vitesse
Page 1 of 6
09 Oct
Roda
1 : 1 Jong PSV
26 Sept
Roda
2 : 0 Waalwijk
12 Sept
Roda
1 : 0 Vitesse
28 Aug
Roda
2 : 2 NAC Breda
14 Aug
Roda
2 : 1 Helmond Sport
Page 1 of 3
NAC Breda
(Away) 09 Oct
NAC Breda
1 : 0 Maastricht
03 Oct
Vitesse
2 : 2 NAC Breda
26 Sept
NAC Breda
4 : 2 Eindhoven FC
20 Sept
De Graafschap
1 : 2 NAC Breda
11 Sept
NAC Breda
2 : 3 Jong Utrecht
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Vitesse
2 : 2 NAC Breda
20 Sept
De Graafschap
1 : 2 NAC Breda
04 Sept
Waalwijk
4 : 2 NAC Breda
28 Aug
Roda
2 : 2 NAC Breda
07 Aug
TOP Oss
1 : 2 NAC Breda
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heracles | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 31:12 | 25 |
| 2 | Almere City | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 22:7 | 22 |
| 3 | Venlo | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 26:14 | 21 |
| 4 | FC Emmen | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 22:18 | 19 |
| 5 | NAC Breda | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 20:19 | 17 |
| 6 | Roda | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 10:8 | 16 |
| 7 | Maastricht | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 13:20 | 16 |
| 8 | FC Volendam | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 22:17 | 15 |
| 9 | Waalwijk | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 19:15 | 14 |
| 10 | Vitesse | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 15:15 | 14 |
| 11 | Jong AZ Alkmaar | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 22:18 | 13 |
| 12 | Jong PSV | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 15:17 | 13 |
| 13 | TOP Oss | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 15:15 | 12 |
| 14 | Den Bosch | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 14:18 | 11 |
| 15 | Eindhoven FC | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 15:22 | 11 |
| 16 | De Graafschap | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13:23 | 11 |
| 17 | Helmond Sport | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 16:19 | 9 |
| 18 | Jong Ajax | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 13:25 | 8 |
| 19 | Dordrecht | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 13:27 | 8 |
| 20 | Jong Utrecht | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 16:23 | 7 |
Promotion - Eredivisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)
