Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Roda host NAC Breda in the Eerste Divisie. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Roda have averaged 1.69 scored and 1.55 conceded recently, against NAC Breda's 1.03 scored and 1.69 conceded. Head-to-head, Roda have won 2 to NAC Breda's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on May 17, 2024, ending 0:5. Model xG sits at 1.94 vs 1.38, favoring Roda. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Roda carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Roda a 36% chance of winning this.
- Regular Eerste Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Roda | NAC Breda |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 7 |
| Draws | 9 | 8 |
| Losses | 11 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.69 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.55 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.94 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
NAC Breda let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 4.60 goals when they meet.
Roda scored in 79% of their last 29 games.
Roda went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Roda
(Home)NAC Breda
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Emmen | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:4 | 6 |
| 2 | Heracles | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:5 | 6 |
| 3 | Maastricht | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:3 | 6 |
| 4 | Almere City | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 4 |
| 5 | Vitesse | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 4 |
| 6 | Dordrecht | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 7 | FC Volendam | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 3 |
| 8 | Jong AZ Alkmaar | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 3 |
| 9 | Venlo | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | 3 |
| 10 | Eindhoven FC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 11 | Roda | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 3 |
| 12 | Jong PSV | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:5 | 3 |
| 13 | NAC Breda | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | 3 |
| 14 | Waalwijk | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3:3 | 2 |
| 15 | Den Bosch | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | 1 |
| 16 | Helmond Sport | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | 1 |
| 17 | De Graafschap | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:6 | 1 |
| 18 | Jong Ajax | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5:8 | 0 |
| 19 | Jong Utrecht | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | 0 |
| 20 | TOP Oss | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | 0 |
