Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Roda vs Vitesse

Netherlands Netherlands

Eerste Divisie 2025/2026 Parkstad Limburg Stadion, Kerkrade
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Bannis N.
Assist: Achouitar O.
25'
Schwarz R.
46'
Sub
Pinto J. In: Zonneveld N.
Out: Pinto J.

AI Match Summary

The Eerste Divisie 2025/2026 game between Roda and Vitesse finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vitesse.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Roda
35%
Draws
39%
Vitesse
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Vitesse

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Vitesse carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Eerste Divisie 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Roda Clean Sheet 20%
Vitesse Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Roda Vitesse
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 12
Draws 8 10
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.73 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 3, 2026 Club Friendly
Vitesse vs Roda
1:1
Mar 16, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Roda vs Vitesse
0:1
Oct 24, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Vitesse vs Roda
2:2
Apr 19, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Vitesse vs Roda
3:0
Nov 26, 2024 Eerste Divisie
Roda vs Vitesse
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Roda Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Vitesse Compare

Top Goalscorer Bannis N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Roda 36 / 100
Vitesse 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Roda Vitesse

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Roda found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Vitesse's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Roda has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Roda VS Vitesse
2.13 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Roda

(Home)
07 Aug
FC Emmen
1 : 0
Roda
01 Aug
Roda
2 : 4
Alemannia Aachen
17 Jul
Roda
1 : 0
Beerschot VA
10 Jul
Cambuur
2 : 1
Roda
03 Jul
Vitesse
1 : 1
Roda
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Vitesse

(Away)
07 Aug
Vitesse
1 : 1
Waalwijk
18 Jul
Vitesse
1 : 2
Al Jazira
15 Jul
Vitesse
0 : 0
AEK
11 Jul
Vitesse
1 : 0
Dortmund II
03 Jul
Vitesse
1 : 1
Roda
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Den Haag 38 29 2 7 90:37 89
2 Cambuur 38 23 9 6 75:48 78
3 Willem II 38 20 8 10 59:42 68
4 De Graafschap 38 18 9 11 74:58 63
5 Almere City 38 18 4 16 78:63 58
6 Waalwijk 38 16 10 12 71:59 58
7 Jong PSV 38 17 5 16 66:64 56
8 Roda 38 14 13 11 59:54 55
9 Den Bosch 38 14 9 15 65:69 51
10 Dordrecht 38 12 11 15 48:56 47
11 Eindhoven FC 38 14 5 19 51:69 47
12 Jong Utrecht 38 12 10 16 58:62 46
13 Venlo 38 13 6 19 50:58 45
14 FC Emmen 38 12 9 17 58:72 45
15 Vitesse 38 15 11 12 64:55 44
16 TOP Oss 38 11 11 16 54:64 44
17 Jong AZ Alkmaar 38 12 4 22 61:76 40
18 Helmond Sport 38 10 9 19 42:62 39
19 Maastricht 38 9 11 18 41:73 38
20 Jong Ajax 38 9 8 21 50:73 35
Promotion - Eredivisie (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)