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Roda vs Vitesse - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Eerste Divisie Parkstad Limburg Stadion, Kerkrade
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Peixoto G.
15'
Sub
Schwarz R. In: Ouallil Y.
Out: Schwarz R.
45'
Van den Buijs D.

AI Match Summary

The Eerste Divisie game between Roda and Vitesse finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Roda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Roda
20%
Draws
28%
Vitesse
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Roda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Vitesse come out ahead of Roda on wins alone.
  • Model gives Roda a 52% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Roda Clean Sheet 20%
Vitesse Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Roda Vitesse
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 13
Draws 8 7
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.52 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Roda vs Vitesse
1:0
Jul 3, 2026 Club Friendly
Vitesse vs Roda
1:1
Mar 16, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Roda vs Vitesse
0:1
Oct 24, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Vitesse vs Roda
2:2
Apr 19, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Vitesse vs Roda
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Roda Compare

Top Goalscorer Peixoto G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Vitesse Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Roda 67 / 100
Vitesse 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Roda Vitesse

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Roda Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Roda has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Roda scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Vitesse has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Roda VS Vitesse
1.25 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Roda

(Home)
30 Oct
Roda
2 : 1
Jong AZ Alkmaar
27 Oct
Roda
1 : 0
De Graafschap
23 Oct
Almere City
2 : 3
Roda
19 Oct
Jong Utrecht
1 : 2
Roda
09 Oct
Roda
1 : 1
Jong PSV
Page 1 of 6

Vitesse

(Away)
02 Nov
Jong Ajax
1 : 1
Vitesse
28 Oct
Venlo
0 : 2
Vitesse
23 Oct
Vitesse
0 : 2
FC Emmen
16 Oct
Eindhoven FC
0 : 1
Vitesse
09 Oct
FC Volendam
2 : 0
Vitesse
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Heracles 13 10 2 1 39:14 32
2 Venlo 13 9 1 3 36:21 28
3 Almere City 13 8 1 4 27:13 25
4 Roda 13 7 4 2 17:12 25
5 FC Emmen 13 8 1 4 26:24 25
6 NAC Breda 13 7 3 3 25:20 24
7 FC Volendam 13 6 1 6 30:22 19
8 Den Bosch 13 5 3 5 23:21 18
9 Vitesse 13 5 3 5 17:18 18
10 Jong AZ Alkmaar 13 5 2 6 32:28 17
11 Maastricht 13 5 2 6 17:29 17
12 Waalwijk 13 3 7 3 22:19 16
13 Jong PSV 13 4 4 5 17:21 16
14 De Graafschap 13 4 3 6 17:27 15
15 TOP Oss 13 4 1 8 19:22 13
16 Jong Ajax 13 3 4 6 19:30 13
17 Helmond Sport 13 3 3 7 23:28 12
18 Eindhoven FC 13 3 2 8 18:28 11
19 Dordrecht 13 3 2 8 18:34 11
20 Jong Utrecht 13 3 1 9 22:33 10
Promotion - Eredivisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)