Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Roda vs Vitesse

Netherlands Netherlands

Eerste Divisie Parkstad Limburg Stadion, Kerkrade
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Peixoto G.
15'
Sub
Schwarz R. In: Ouallil Y.
Out: Schwarz R.
45'
Van den Buijs D.

AI Match Summary

The Eerste Divisie game between Roda and Vitesse finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Roda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Roda
20%
Draws
36%
Vitesse
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Roda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Vitesse come out ahead of Roda on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Roda Clean Sheet 17%
Vitesse Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Roda Vitesse
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 12
Draws 10 9
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.57 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Roda vs Vitesse
1:0
Jul 3, 2026 Club Friendly
Vitesse vs Roda
1:1
Mar 16, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Roda vs Vitesse
0:1
Oct 24, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Vitesse vs Roda
2:2
Apr 19, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Vitesse vs Roda
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Roda Compare

Top Goalscorer Peixoto G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Vitesse Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Roda 30 / 100
Vitesse 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Roda Vitesse

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Roda Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Roda scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Roda has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Vitesse has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Roda VS Vitesse
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Roda

(Home)
12 Sept
Roda
1 : 0
Vitesse
06 Sept
Maastricht
1 : 1
Roda
28 Aug
Roda
2 : 2
NAC Breda
21 Aug
Dordrecht
0 : 1
Roda
14 Aug
Roda
2 : 1
Helmond Sport
Page 1 of 6

Vitesse

(Away)
12 Sept
Roda
1 : 0
Vitesse
04 Sept
Vitesse
2 : 1
TOP Oss
28 Aug
Den Bosch
1 : 4
Vitesse
21 Aug
Vitesse
0 : 3
Almere City
17 Aug
Jong Utrecht
1 : 3
Vitesse
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Heracles 7 6 0 1 24:10 18
2 Almere City 7 5 1 1 16:4 16
3 Venlo 7 5 0 2 19:11 15
4 Waalwijk 7 3 4 0 18:9 13
5 Maastricht 7 4 1 2 10:15 13
6 Jong AZ Alkmaar 9 4 1 4 22:17 13
7 Roda 7 3 3 1 7:5 12
8 FC Emmen 7 4 0 3 17:17 12
9 Jong PSV 8 3 3 2 13:13 12
10 Vitesse 6 3 1 2 10:8 10
11 Eindhoven FC 7 3 1 3 11:13 10
12 FC Volendam 7 3 0 4 17:14 9
13 Helmond Sport 7 2 2 3 13:12 8
14 Jong Ajax 9 2 2 5 13:22 8
15 NAC Breda 6 2 1 3 11:14 7
16 Den Bosch 7 2 1 4 12:16 7
17 Jong Utrecht 9 2 1 6 15:21 7
18 TOP Oss 7 2 0 5 8:12 6
19 De Graafschap 6 1 1 4 7:18 4
20 Dordrecht 7 1 1 5 9:21 4
Promotion - Eredivisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)