Sport Picks
Match Events
18'
18'
Doodeman N.
33'
33'
Tol M.
56'
56'
Sub
Griffith I. In: Seedorf C.
Out: Griffith I.
AI Match Summary
Willem II in this Eerste Divisie 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Willem II.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
15%
46%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Willem II
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Willem II have won more games recently than Roda.
- Roda are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- Regular Eerste Divisie 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Roda Clean Sheet 10%
Willem II Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Roda | Willem II |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 18 |
| Draws | 8 | 4 |
| Losses | 11 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.67 | 2 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.59 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 6, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Roda vs Willem II
0:1
Oct 3, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Willem II vs Roda
1:2
Jul 23, 2024 Club Friendly
Willem II vs Roda
0:0
Feb 23, 2024 Eerste Divisie
Willem II vs Roda
2:3
Oct 21, 2023 Eerste Divisie
Roda vs Willem II
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Roda Compare
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Willem II Compare
Top Goalscorer Doodeman N.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Roda 38 / 100
Willem II 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Roda Willem II
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Roda Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Roda scored in 78% of their last 27 games.
Willem II's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Roda went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Roda VS Willem II
2.13 Goals Scored 2.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Roda
(Home) 14 Aug
Roda
2 : 1 Helmond Sport
07 Aug
FC Emmen
1 : 0 Roda
01 Aug
Roda
2 : 4 Alemannia Aachen
17 Jul
Roda
1 : 0 Beerschot VA
10 Jul
Cambuur
2 : 1 Roda
Page 1 of 6
14 Aug
Roda
2 : 1 Helmond Sport
01 Aug
Roda
2 : 4 Alemannia Aachen
17 Jul
Roda
1 : 0 Beerschot VA
28 Apr
Roda
1 : 1 Waalwijk
17 Apr
Roda
2 : 2 FC Emmen
Page 1 of 3
Willem II
(Away) 15 Aug
Willem II
1 : 4 Nijmegen
08 Aug
G.A. Eagles
4 : 1 Willem II
01 Aug
Willem II
2 : 1 OFI Crete
25 Jul
Willem II
1 : 0 KV Mechelen
11 Jul
Willem II
2 : 2 Eindhoven FC
Page 1 of 6
08 Aug
G.A. Eagles
4 : 1 Willem II
29 Jun
RKDSV
0 : 11 Willem II
23 May
FC Volendam
1 : 3 Willem II
13 May
Almere City
0 : 1 Willem II
05 May
Waalwijk
0 : 1 Willem II
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Den Haag | 38 | 29 | 2 | 7 | 90:37 | 89 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 75:48 | 78 |
| 3 | Willem II | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 59:42 | 68 |
| 4 | De Graafschap | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 74:58 | 63 |
| 5 | Almere City | 38 | 18 | 4 | 16 | 78:63 | 58 |
| 6 | Waalwijk | 38 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 71:59 | 58 |
| 7 | Jong PSV | 38 | 17 | 5 | 16 | 66:64 | 56 |
| 8 | Roda | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 59:54 | 55 |
| 9 | Den Bosch | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 65:69 | 51 |
| 10 | Dordrecht | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 48:56 | 47 |
| 11 | Eindhoven FC | 38 | 14 | 5 | 19 | 51:69 | 47 |
| 12 | Jong Utrecht | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 58:62 | 46 |
| 13 | Venlo | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 50:58 | 45 |
| 14 | FC Emmen | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 58:72 | 45 |
| 15 | Vitesse | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 64:55 | 44 |
| 16 | TOP Oss | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 54:64 | 44 |
| 17 | Jong AZ Alkmaar | 38 | 12 | 4 | 22 | 61:76 | 40 |
| 18 | Helmond Sport | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 42:62 | 39 |
| 19 | Maastricht | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 41:73 | 38 |
| 20 | Jong Ajax | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 50:73 | 35 |
Promotion - Eredivisie (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
