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Rodez AF W vs Guingamp W

France France

Seconde Ligue Women 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

79' Event
Martin E.

AI Match Summary

Rodez AF W in this Seconde Ligue Women 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rodez AF W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Rodez AF W
20%
Draws
0%
Guingamp W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Rodez AF W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Rodez AF W lately — more wins on the board than Guingamp W.
  • Model gives Rodez AF W a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Seconde Ligue Women 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Rodez AF W Clean Sheet 20%
Guingamp W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rodez AF W Guingamp W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 3
Draws 7 4
Losses 16 23
Goals Scored 0.8 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.57 2.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 Seconde Ligue Women
Guingamp W vs Rodez AF W
1:2
Dec 6, 2025 Seconde Ligue Women
Rodez AF W vs Guingamp W
1:0
May 21, 2023 Premiere Ligue Women
Guingamp W vs Rodez AF W
2:1
Dec 10, 2022 Premiere Ligue Women
Rodez AF W vs Guingamp W
1:2
Feb 2, 2019 Premiere Ligue Women
Guingamp W vs Rodez AF W
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rodez AF W Compare

Top Goalscorer Martin E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Guingamp W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rodez AF W 67 / 100
Guingamp W 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rodez AF W Guingamp W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rodez AF W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guingamp W has conceded goals in 97% of their last 30 outings.

Difficult form: Guingamp W registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Rodez AF W scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Rodez AF W VS Guingamp W
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.38
38% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Rodez AF W

(Home)
08 Aug
Toulouse W
5 : 0
Rodez AF W
24 May
Thonon Evian W
3 : 1
Rodez AF W
17 May
Rodez AF W
0 : 0
Reims W
03 May
Saint-Malo W
1 : 0
Rodez AF W
25 Apr
Rodez AF W
4 : 4
Toulouse W
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Guingamp W

(Away)
15 Aug
Saint-Malo W
1 : 0
Guingamp W
24 May
Guingamp W
1 : 3
Auxerre W
17 May
Le Mans W
3 : 0
Guingamp W
02 May
Guingamp W
2 : 3
Grenoble W
26 Apr
Lille W
4 : 0
Guingamp W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toulouse W 22 15 4 3 48:21 49
2 Saint-Malo W 22 12 4 6 34:28 40
3 Le Mans W 22 12 3 7 28:20 39
4 Auxerre W 22 10 5 7 31:25 35
5 Grenoble W 22 9 7 6 31:24 34
6 Lille W 22 9 5 8 31:25 32
7 Thonon Evian W 22 9 4 9 35:29 31
8 Nice W 22 8 5 9 28:31 29
9 Reims W 22 7 6 9 26:33 27
10 Metz W 22 6 4 12 31:42 22
11 Rodez AF W 22 6 4 12 16:32 22
12 Guingamp W 22 2 3 17 17:46 9
Promotion - Premiere Ligue Women (Main)