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Rodez AF W vs Marseille W Prediction & H2H Stats

France France

Coupe de la Ligue Women 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

Marseille W in this Coupe de la Ligue Women 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Rodez AF W
30%
Draws
61%
Marseille W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Marseille W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Marseille W lately — more wins on the board than Rodez AF W.
  • 61% — that's where the model lands on Marseille W taking it.
  • Marseille W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Marseille W, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Marseille W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Rodez AF W Clean Sheet 10%
Marseille W Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rodez AF W Marseille W
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 16
Draws 7 4
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 0.8 1.74
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.58
Expected Goals (xG) 1.15 2.04
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 11, 2025 Coupe de la Ligue Women
Rodez AF W vs Marseille W
1:2
Mar 16, 2025 Seconde Ligue Women
Rodez AF W vs Marseille W
1:4
Nov 17, 2024 Seconde Ligue Women
Marseille W vs Rodez AF W
1:3
May 26, 2024 Seconde Ligue Women
Marseille W vs Rodez AF W
5:0
Sep 17, 2023 Seconde Ligue Women
Rodez AF W vs Marseille W
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rodez AF W 10 / 100
Marseille W 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rodez AF W Marseille W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Marseille W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Defensive concern: Marseille W conceded in 68% of 31 recent games.

Rodez AF W's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Solid form: Rodez AF W remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Rodez AF W VS Marseille W
1.17 Goals Scored 1.75
2.33 Goals Conceded 1.13
67% Over 1.5 63%
67% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Rodez AF W

(Home)
08 Aug
Toulouse W
5 : 0
Rodez AF W
24 May
Thonon Evian W
3 : 1
Rodez AF W
17 May
Rodez AF W
0 : 0
Reims W
03 May
Saint-Malo W
1 : 0
Rodez AF W
25 Apr
Rodez AF W
4 : 4
Toulouse W
Page 1 of 6

Marseille W

(Away)
26 Sept
Marseille W
6 : 1
Thonon Evian W
19 Sept
Montpellier W
0 : 0
Marseille W
12 Sept
Marseille W
2 : 1
Lens W
05 Sept
Marseille W
1 : 0
Le Havre W
29 Aug
Montpellier W
0 : 3
Marseille W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dijon W 4 4 0 0 15:2 12
2 Metz W 4 3 0 1 11:5 9
3 Strasbourg W 4 2 0 2 4:9 6
4 Auxerre W 4 1 0 3 9:9 3
5 Reims W 4 0 0 4 1:15 0
Promotion - Coupe de la Ligue Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Thonon Evian W 3 3 0 0 4:2 8
2 Nice W 3 1 0 2 5:2 4
3 St Etienne W 3 1 0 2 6:8 3
4 Grenoble W 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
Promotion - Coupe de la Ligue Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Marseille W 3 3 0 0 7:4 8
2 Montpellier W 3 2 0 1 7:3 7
3 Toulouse W 3 1 0 2 2:6 3
4 Rodez AF W 3 0 0 3 2:5 0
Promotion - Coupe de la Ligue Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lens W 3 3 0 0 5:1 9
2 Fleury 91 W 3 2 0 1 10:4 6
3 Le Mans W 3 1 0 2 5:8 3
4 Lille W 3 0 0 3 2:9 0
Promotion - Coupe de la Ligue Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nantes W 3 3 0 0 9:3 8
2 Le Havre W 3 2 0 1 6:2 6
3 Saint-Malo W 3 1 0 2 6:5 4
4 Guingamp W 3 0 0 3 1:12 0
Promotion - Coupe de la Ligue Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs)