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Rodez vs Bastia

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Sebas J.
15' Event
Touho M.
17' Event
Nagera K.

AI Match Summary

Rodez in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 5-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rodez.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Rodez
20%
Draws
51%
Bastia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bastia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Bastia haven't matched Rodez's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Rodez's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Rodez Clean Sheet 15%
Bastia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rodez Bastia
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 15 8
Draws 6 11
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 1.85 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.44 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 10, 2026 Club Friendly
Rodez vs Bastia
5:3
Mar 20, 2026 Ligue 2
Rodez vs Bastia
1:1
Sep 23, 2025 Ligue 2
Bastia vs Rodez
2:3
Feb 7, 2025 Ligue 2
Rodez vs Bastia
0:2
Oct 29, 2024 Ligue 2
Bastia vs Rodez
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rodez Compare

Top Goalscorer Touho M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Nagera K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Bastia Compare

Top Goalscorer Sebas J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zaouai A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rodez 35 / 100
Bastia 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rodez Bastia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rodez scored in 81% of their last 27 games.

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Bastia has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Rodez remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Rodez VS Bastia
1.75 Goals Scored 1
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Rodez

(Home)
18 Sept
Rodez
3 : 4
Nancy
11 Sept
Rodez
0 : 1
Grenoble
05 Sept
Metz
4 : 1
Rodez
28 Aug
Rodez
2 : 2
Pau
22 Aug
Nantes
2 : 5
Rodez
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Bastia

(Away)
17 Sept
Bastia
1 : 1
Cannes
12 Sept
Bourg Peronnas
0 : 1
Bastia
05 Sept
Bastia
0 : 3
Amiens SC
27 Aug
Caen
0 : 1
Bastia
20 Aug
Bastia
2 : 3
Versailles
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