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Rodez vs Dunkerque - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Ligue 2 Stade Paul-Lignon, Rodez
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Match Events

40' Event
Nsona K.
Assist: Essimi M.
59'
Sub
Nsona K. In: Nagera K.
Out: Nsona K.
59'
Sub
Pavlovic D. In: Mendes J.
Out: Pavlovic D.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 2 game between Rodez and Dunkerque finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rodez.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Rodez
15%
Draws
26%
Dunkerque
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rodez

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Rodez come out ahead of Dunkerque on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Rodez's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Ligue 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Rodez Clean Sheet 15%
Dunkerque Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rodez Dunkerque
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 16 7
Draws 6 7
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 1.7 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 30, 2026 Ligue 2
Rodez vs Dunkerque
1:0
Apr 3, 2026 Ligue 2
Dunkerque vs Rodez
1:1
Nov 21, 2025 Ligue 2
Rodez vs Dunkerque
1:1
Mar 10, 2025 Ligue 2
Rodez vs Dunkerque
5:1
Aug 30, 2024 Ligue 2
Dunkerque vs Rodez
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rodez Compare

Top Goalscorer Nsona K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Dunkerque Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rodez 57 / 100
Dunkerque 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rodez Dunkerque

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rodez Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dunkerque let in goals in 89% of their last 28 matches.

Rodez's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Rodez went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rodez VS Dunkerque
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Rodez

(Home)
30 Oct
Rodez
1 : 0
Dunkerque
24 Oct
Dijon
1 : 2
Rodez
19 Oct
Rodez
0 : 3
Montpellier
10 Oct
St Etienne
2 : 0
Rodez
03 Oct
Rodez
2 : 0
Inter Escaldes
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Dunkerque

(Away)
30 Oct
Rodez
1 : 0
Dunkerque
23 Oct
Dunkerque
1 : 1
Metz
17 Oct
Nantes
2 : 3
Dunkerque
09 Oct
Dunkerque
0 : 1
Annecy
02 Oct
Dunkerque
0 : 4
RAAL La Louviere
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 St Etienne 11 8 1 2 23:11 25
2 Montpellier 11 7 3 1 16:6 24
3 Pau 11 6 2 3 16:11 20
4 Nancy 10 6 1 3 12:8 19
5 Reims 10 4 6 0 20:12 18
6 Red Star 10 5 2 3 13:12 17
7 Annecy 11 5 1 5 14:15 16
8 Dijon 11 4 3 4 20:19 15
9 Guingamp 11 4 2 5 16:15 14
10 Metz 11 3 5 3 17:17 14
11 Rodez 11 4 1 6 17:22 13
12 Dunkerque 11 3 3 5 14:17 12
13 Sochaux 10 2 5 3 8:12 11
14 Boulogne 11 1 7 3 7:8 10
15 Nantes 11 2 3 6 12:18 9
16 Laval 11 2 3 6 14:21 9
17 Clermont 11 0 8 3 10:15 8
18 Grenoble 11 2 2 7 10:20 8
Promotion - Ligue 1 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 3 2027/2028 (Main)