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Rodez vs Grenoble

France France

Ligue 2 Stade Paul-Lignon, Rodez
Fri, Sep 11, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Rodez host Grenoble in the Ligue 2. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Grenoble have shipped 1.36 goals a game lately, while Rodez have conceded 1.32 and scored 1.89. Past meetings favor Grenoble slightly — 2-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 6, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (2.31 xG vs 1.50) point toward Rodez. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Rodez
20%
Draws
29%
Grenoble
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Rodez

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Rodez come out ahead of Grenoble on wins alone.
  • Rodez are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Rodez Clean Sheet 16%
Grenoble Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rodez Grenoble
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 17 5
Draws 7 12
Losses 4 11
Goals Scored 1.89 1
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 6, 2026 Ligue 2
Rodez vs Grenoble
1:0
Nov 7, 2025 Ligue 2
Grenoble vs Rodez
2:1
Jul 25, 2025 Club Friendly
Grenoble vs Rodez
1:0
Jan 31, 2025 Ligue 2
Grenoble vs Rodez
2:1
Oct 4, 2024 Ligue 2
Rodez vs Grenoble
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rodez 57 / 100
Grenoble 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rodez Grenoble

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rodez Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Rodez scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Grenoble has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Rodez went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rodez VS Grenoble
2.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Rodez

(Home)
05 Sept
Metz
4 : 1
Rodez
28 Aug
Rodez
2 : 2
Pau
22 Aug
Nantes
2 : 5
Rodez
14 Aug
Annecy
2 : 0
Rodez
08 Aug
Rodez
3 : 1
Laval
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Grenoble

(Away)
04 Sept
Grenoble
1 : 2
Annecy
28 Aug
Laval
0 : 3
Grenoble
22 Aug
St Etienne
4 : 0
Grenoble
14 Aug
Grenoble
0 : 0
Metz
08 Aug
Dunkerque
4 : 2
Grenoble
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 St Etienne 5 5 0 0 16:4 15
2 Annecy 5 3 1 1 7:5 10
3 Reims 5 2 3 0 12:7 9
4 Metz 5 2 3 0 8:4 9
5 Montpellier 5 2 2 1 4:4 8
6 Red Star 5 2 2 1 5:6 8
7 Nancy 5 2 1 2 3:2 7
8 Rodez 5 2 1 2 11:11 7
9 Sochaux 5 1 3 1 2:4 6
10 Dunkerque 5 1 2 2 8:9 5
11 Guingamp 5 1 2 2 7:8 5
12 Pau 5 1 2 2 4:5 5
13 Boulogne 5 0 4 1 2:3 4
14 Clermont 5 0 4 1 3:5 4
15 Nantes 5 1 1 3 7:11 4
16 Grenoble 5 1 1 3 6:10 4
17 Laval 5 1 1 3 5:10 4
18 Dijon 5 0 3 2 5:7 3
Promotion - Ligue 1 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 3 2027/2028 (Main)