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Rodez vs Grenoble - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Ligue 2 Stade Paul-Lignon, Rodez
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Match Events

11' Event
Xantippe M.
Assist: Mouazan B.
42'
Akpa Akpro J.
45'
Vidal C.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 2 game between Rodez and Grenoble finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Grenoble.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

77%
Rodez
15%
Draws
8%
Grenoble
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rodez

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Rodez come out ahead of Grenoble on wins alone.
  • Rodez are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Grenoble have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Rodez Clean Sheet 68%
Grenoble Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rodez Grenoble
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 15 5
Draws 5 10
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.79 0.96
Goals Conceded 1.54 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2026 Ligue 2
Rodez vs Grenoble
0:1
Mar 6, 2026 Ligue 2
Rodez vs Grenoble
1:0
Nov 7, 2025 Ligue 2
Grenoble vs Rodez
2:1
Jul 25, 2025 Club Friendly
Grenoble vs Rodez
1:0
Jan 31, 2025 Ligue 2
Grenoble vs Rodez
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rodez Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Grenoble Compare

Top Goalscorer Xantippe M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rodez 86 / 100
Grenoble 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rodez Grenoble

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rodez Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 8:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Rodez scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Grenoble let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Rodez has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Rodez VS Grenoble
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Rodez

(Home)
30 Oct
Rodez
1 : 0
Dunkerque
24 Oct
Dijon
1 : 2
Rodez
19 Oct
Rodez
0 : 3
Montpellier
10 Oct
St Etienne
2 : 0
Rodez
03 Oct
Rodez
2 : 0
Inter Escaldes
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Grenoble

(Away)
30 Oct
Grenoble
1 : 3
Dijon
23 Oct
Pau
2 : 1
Grenoble
16 Oct
Grenoble
0 : 2
Boulogne
09 Oct
Montpellier
2 : 0
Grenoble
02 Oct
Grenoble
0 : 0
Lausanne Ouchy
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 St Etienne 11 8 1 2 23:11 25
2 Montpellier 11 7 3 1 16:6 24
3 Nancy 11 7 1 3 16:9 22
4 Reims 11 5 6 0 22:12 21
5 Pau 11 6 2 3 16:11 20
6 Red Star 11 5 2 4 14:16 17
7 Annecy 11 5 1 5 14:15 16
8 Dijon 11 4 3 4 20:19 15
9 Guingamp 11 4 2 5 16:15 14
10 Metz 11 3 5 3 17:17 14
11 Rodez 11 4 1 6 17:22 13
12 Dunkerque 11 3 3 5 14:17 12
13 Sochaux 11 2 5 4 8:14 11
14 Boulogne 11 1 7 3 7:8 10
15 Nantes 11 2 3 6 12:18 9
16 Laval 11 2 3 6 14:21 9
17 Clermont 11 0 8 3 10:15 8
18 Grenoble 11 2 2 7 10:20 8
Promotion - Ligue 1 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 3 2027/2028 (Main)