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Rodez vs Martigues Prediction & H2H Stats

France France

Ligue 2 2024/2025 Stade Paul-Lignon, Rodez
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Match Events

32'
Robin M.
63' Event
Nkada T.
Assist: Cadiou N.
67'
Sub
Balde I. In: Bentayeb T.
Out: Balde I.

AI Match Summary

Rodez in this Ligue 2 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rodez.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Rodez
30%
Draws
39%
Martigues
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Martigues

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Martigues haven't matched Rodez's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Rodez a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Rodez Clean Sheet 20%
Martigues Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rodez Martigues
Matches Played 28 25
Wins 16 9
Draws 6 3
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 1.82 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2025 Club Friendly
Martigues vs Rodez
0:0
Apr 4, 2025 Ligue 2
Rodez vs Martigues
1:0
Oct 18, 2024 Ligue 2
Martigues vs Rodez
0:2
Jul 19, 2023 Club Friendly
Rodez vs Martigues
2:2
Mar 4, 2017 National 2 - Group D
Rodez vs Martigues
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rodez Compare

Top Goalscorer Nkada T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8

Martigues Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rodez 36 / 100
Martigues 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rodez Martigues

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rodez scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

Martigues has conceded goals in 68% of their last 25 outings.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Rodez went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rodez VS -
2 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Rodez

(Home)
18 Sept
Rodez
3 : 4
Nancy
11 Sept
Rodez
0 : 1
Grenoble
05 Sept
Metz
4 : 1
Rodez
28 Aug
Rodez
2 : 2
Pau
22 Aug
Nantes
2 : 5
Rodez
Page 1 of 6

Martigues

(Away)
26 Jul
Martigues
1 : 1
AC Ajaccio
10 May
Lorient
5 : 1
Martigues
02 May
Martigues
1 : 1
Paris FC
25 Apr
Guingamp
2 : 1
Martigues
18 Apr
Caen
0 : 3
Martigues
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lorient 34 22 5 7 68:31 71
2 Paris FC 34 21 6 7 55:33 69
3 Metz 34 18 11 5 64:34 65
4 Dunkerque 34 17 5 12 47:40 56
5 Guingamp 34 17 4 13 57:45 55
6 Annecy 34 14 9 11 42:43 51
7 Laval 34 14 8 12 44:38 50
8 Bastia 34 11 15 8 43:37 48
9 Grenoble 34 13 7 14 43:44 46
10 Troyes 34 13 5 16 36:34 44
11 Amiens SC 34 13 4 17 38:50 43
12 AC Ajaccio 34 12 6 16 30:42 42
13 Pau 34 10 12 12 39:53 42
14 Rodez 34 9 12 13 56:54 39
15 Red Star 34 9 11 14 37:51 38
16 Clermont 34 7 12 15 30:46 33
17 Martigues 34 9 5 20 29:56 32
18 Caen 34 5 7 22 31:58 22
Promotion - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 1 2024/2025 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Ligue 1 2024/2025 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - National 2025/2026 (Main)