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Rodez vs Nancy - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Ligue 2 Stade Paul-Lignon, Rodez
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Housni I.
Assist: Ba P. M.
7' Event
Nahounou Y.
Own Goal
16'
Laurent L.

AI Match Summary

Nancy in this Ligue 2 matchup, with the score ending 3-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nancy.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Rodez
15%
Draws
49%
Nancy
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nancy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Rodez have won more games recently than Nancy.
  • Win probability leans Nancy's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Ligue 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Rodez Clean Sheet 10%
Nancy Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rodez Nancy
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 16 11
Draws 6 9
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.7 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2026 Ligue 2
Rodez vs Nancy
3:4
Jan 23, 2026 Ligue 2
Nancy vs Rodez
1:3
Aug 9, 2025 Ligue 2
Rodez vs Nancy
0:0
Apr 19, 2022 Ligue 2
Rodez vs Nancy
1:1
Nov 20, 2021 Ligue 2
Nancy vs Rodez
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rodez Compare

Top Goalscorer Lipinski R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jean-Lambert E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Nancy Compare

Top Goalscorer Ba P. M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Housni I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rodez 22 / 100
Nancy 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rodez Nancy

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nancy Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rodez's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Nancy has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Rodez has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Rodez VS Nancy
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Rodez

(Home)
30 Oct
Rodez
1 : 0
Dunkerque
24 Oct
Dijon
1 : 2
Rodez
19 Oct
Rodez
0 : 3
Montpellier
10 Oct
St Etienne
2 : 0
Rodez
03 Oct
Rodez
2 : 0
Inter Escaldes
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Nancy

(Away)
02 Nov
Red Star
1 : 4
Nancy
23 Oct
Nancy
1 : 0
Laval
16 Oct
Annecy
1 : 2
Nancy
09 Oct
Nancy
1 : 0
Guingamp
02 Oct
Saarbrucken
2 : 1
Nancy
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 St Etienne 11 8 1 2 23:11 25
2 Montpellier 11 7 3 1 16:6 24
3 Nancy 11 7 1 3 16:9 22
4 Reims 11 5 6 0 22:12 21
5 Pau 11 6 2 3 16:11 20
6 Red Star 11 5 2 4 14:16 17
7 Annecy 11 5 1 5 14:15 16
8 Dijon 11 4 3 4 20:19 15
9 Guingamp 11 4 2 5 16:15 14
10 Metz 11 3 5 3 17:17 14
11 Rodez 11 4 1 6 17:22 13
12 Dunkerque 11 3 3 5 14:17 12
13 Sochaux 11 2 5 4 8:14 11
14 Boulogne 11 1 7 3 7:8 10
15 Nantes 11 2 3 6 12:18 9
16 Laval 11 2 3 6 14:21 9
17 Clermont 11 0 8 3 10:15 8
18 Grenoble 11 2 2 7 10:20 8
Promotion - Ligue 1 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 3 2027/2028 (Main)