Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rodez vs Nancy

France France

Ligue 2 Stade Paul-Lignon, Rodez
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Housni I.
Assist: Ba P. M.
7' Event
Nahounou Y.
Own Goal
16'
Laurent L.

AI Match Summary

Nancy in this Ligue 2 matchup, with the score ending 3-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nancy.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Rodez
15%
Draws
51%
Nancy
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nancy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Rodez have won more games recently than Nancy.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Ligue 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%
Rodez Clean Sheet 12%
Nancy Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rodez Nancy
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 7
Draws 8 12
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 1.79 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2026 Ligue 2
Rodez vs Nancy
3:4
Jan 23, 2026 Ligue 2
Nancy vs Rodez
1:3
Aug 9, 2025 Ligue 2
Rodez vs Nancy
0:0
Apr 19, 2022 Ligue 2
Rodez vs Nancy
1:1
Nov 20, 2021 Ligue 2
Nancy vs Rodez
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rodez Compare

Top Goalscorer Lipinski R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jean-Lambert E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Nancy Compare

Top Goalscorer Ba P. M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Housni I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rodez 35 / 100
Nancy 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rodez Nancy

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nancy Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:7
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rodez's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Nancy has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Nancy registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rodez VS Nancy
2 Goals Scored 1.38
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.5
100% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 25%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Rodez

(Home)
11 Sept
Rodez
0 : 1
Grenoble
05 Sept
Metz
4 : 1
Rodez
28 Aug
Rodez
2 : 2
Pau
22 Aug
Nantes
2 : 5
Rodez
14 Aug
Annecy
2 : 0
Rodez
Page 1 of 6

Nancy

(Away)
11 Sept
Nancy
1 : 2
Reims
07 Sept
Nantes
1 : 0
Nancy
28 Aug
Nancy
2 : 0
Dunkerque
21 Aug
Pau
0 : 1
Nancy
14 Aug
Nancy
0 : 1
Montpellier
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 St Etienne 6 5 0 1 17:6 15
2 Reims 6 3 3 0 14:8 12
3 Montpellier 6 3 2 1 5:4 11
4 Red Star 6 3 2 1 6:6 11
5 Annecy 6 3 1 2 8:7 10
6 Metz 6 2 3 1 8:5 9
7 Sochaux 6 2 3 1 3:4 9
8 Dunkerque 6 2 2 2 10:10 8
9 Guingamp 6 2 2 2 9:9 8
10 Nancy 6 2 1 3 4:4 7
11 Rodez 6 2 1 3 11:12 7
12 Grenoble 6 2 1 3 7:10 7
13 Dijon 6 1 3 2 8:9 6
14 Boulogne 6 0 5 1 2:3 5
15 Pau 6 1 2 3 4:6 5
16 Clermont 6 0 5 1 3:5 5
17 Nantes 6 1 1 4 7:12 4
18 Laval 6 1 1 4 7:13 4
Promotion - Ligue 1 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 3 2027/2028 (Main)