Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rodez vs Pau

France France

Ligue 2 Stade Paul-Lignon, Rodez
2 - 2
FT
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Leye B.
Assist: Benet J.
3'
Lipinski R.
28' Event
Balde I.
Assist: Lipinski R.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 2 game between Rodez and Pau finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Rodez
20%
Draws
29%
Pau
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Rodez

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Rodez come out ahead of Pau on wins alone.
  • Model gives Rodez a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Ligue 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%
Rodez Clean Sheet 68%
Pau Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rodez Pau
Matches Played 29 26
Wins 17 8
Draws 9 5
Losses 3 13
Goals Scored 1.93 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2026 Ligue 2
Rodez vs Pau
2:2
Jul 10, 2026 Club Friendly
Rodez vs Pau
0:0
Jan 3, 2026 Ligue 2
Pau vs Rodez
3:3
Sep 26, 2025 Ligue 2
Rodez vs Pau
1:2
Aug 2, 2025 Club Friendly
Rodez vs Pau
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rodez Compare

Top Goalscorer Balde I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Joly O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Pau Compare

Top Goalscorer Leye B.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rodez 59 / 100
Pau 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rodez Pau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rodez Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 8:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rodez's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Pau let in goals in 69% of their last 26 matches.

Rodez has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Rodez VS Pau
2.13 Goals Scored 0.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Rodez

(Home)
28 Aug
Rodez
2 : 2
Pau
22 Aug
Nantes
2 : 5
Rodez
14 Aug
Annecy
2 : 0
Rodez
08 Aug
Rodez
3 : 1
Laval
01 Aug
Montpellier
4 : 2
Rodez
Page 1 of 6

Pau

(Away)
28 Aug
Rodez
2 : 2
Pau
21 Aug
Pau
0 : 1
Nancy
14 Aug
Dijon
0 : 1
Pau
08 Aug
Pau
0 : 1
Annecy
01 Aug
Pau
1 : 2
Real Union
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 St Etienne 4 4 0 0 13:3 12
2 Reims 4 2 2 0 10:5 8
3 Montpellier 4 2 2 0 3:1 8
4 Rodez 4 2 1 1 10:7 7
5 Nancy 4 2 1 1 3:1 7
6 Annecy 4 2 1 1 5:4 7
7 Metz 4 1 3 0 4:3 6
8 Red Star 4 1 2 1 3:5 5
9 Sochaux 4 1 2 1 1:3 5
10 Dunkerque 4 1 1 2 7:8 4
11 Guingamp 4 1 1 2 5:6 4
12 Pau 4 1 1 2 3:4 4
13 Grenoble 4 1 1 2 5:8 4
14 Laval 4 1 1 2 4:8 4
15 Boulogne 4 0 3 1 1:2 3
16 Clermont 4 0 3 1 2:4 3
17 Dijon 4 0 2 2 4:6 2
18 Nantes 4 0 1 3 6:11 1
Promotion - Ligue 1 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 3 2027/2028 (Main)