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Rodez vs Pau - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Ligue 2 Stade Paul-Lignon, Rodez
2 - 2
FT
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Leye B.
Assist: Benet J.
3'
Lipinski R.
28' Event
Balde I.
Assist: Lipinski R.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 2 game between Rodez and Pau finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Rodez
15%
Draws
53%
Pau
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Rodez come out ahead of Pau on wins alone.
  • Model gives Pau a 53% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Ligue 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Rodez Clean Sheet 10%
Pau Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rodez Pau
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 16 12
Draws 5 4
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.76 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2026 Ligue 2
Rodez vs Pau
2:2
Jul 10, 2026 Club Friendly
Rodez vs Pau
0:0
Jan 3, 2026 Ligue 2
Pau vs Rodez
3:3
Sep 26, 2025 Ligue 2
Rodez vs Pau
1:2
Aug 2, 2025 Club Friendly
Rodez vs Pau
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rodez Compare

Top Goalscorer Balde I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Joly O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Pau Compare

Top Goalscorer Leye B.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rodez 18 / 100
Pau 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rodez Pau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pau Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:7
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Rodez scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Pau let in goals in 74% of their last 27 matches.

Rodez has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Rodez VS Pau
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Rodez

(Home)
30 Oct
Rodez
1 : 0
Dunkerque
24 Oct
Dijon
1 : 2
Rodez
19 Oct
Rodez
0 : 3
Montpellier
10 Oct
St Etienne
2 : 0
Rodez
03 Oct
Rodez
2 : 0
Inter Escaldes
Page 1 of 6

Pau

(Away)
30 Oct
Metz
1 : 3
Pau
23 Oct
Pau
2 : 1
Grenoble
16 Oct
Guingamp
1 : 2
Pau
09 Oct
Pau
3 : 2
Laval
03 Oct
Toulouse
2 : 3
Pau
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 St Etienne 11 8 1 2 23:11 25
2 Montpellier 11 7 3 1 16:6 24
3 Nancy 11 7 1 3 16:9 22
4 Reims 11 5 6 0 22:12 21
5 Pau 11 6 2 3 16:11 20
6 Red Star 11 5 2 4 14:16 17
7 Annecy 11 5 1 5 14:15 16
8 Dijon 11 4 3 4 20:19 15
9 Guingamp 11 4 2 5 16:15 14
10 Metz 11 3 5 3 17:17 14
11 Rodez 11 4 1 6 17:22 13
12 Dunkerque 11 3 3 5 14:17 12
13 Sochaux 11 2 5 4 8:14 11
14 Boulogne 11 1 7 3 7:8 10
15 Nantes 11 2 3 6 12:18 9
16 Laval 11 2 3 6 14:21 9
17 Clermont 11 0 8 3 10:15 8
18 Grenoble 11 2 2 7 10:20 8
Promotion - Ligue 1 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 3 2027/2028 (Main)