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Rodez vs Valence

France France

CFA - Group C 2013/2014
Rodez Logo

Rodez

2 - 1
FT
Valence Logo

Valence

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The CFA - Group C 2013/2014 game between Rodez and Valence finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rodez.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Rodez
30%
Draws
23%
Valence
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Rodez

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Rodez come out ahead of Valence on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Rodez's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Rodez Clean Sheet 20%
Valence Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rodez Valence
Matches Played 33 28
Wins 19 6
Draws 6 12
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.7 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2014 National 1 - Group C
Rodez vs Valence
2:1
Sep 21, 2013 National 1 - Group C
Valence vs Rodez
0:1
Mar 2, 2013 National 1 - Group C
Rodez vs Valence
4:1
Sep 15, 2012 National 1 - Group C
Valence vs Rodez
2:1
Apr 10, 1993 Ligue 2
Rodez vs Valence
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rodez 58 / 100
Valence 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rodez Valence

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rodez Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rodez found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (33 games).

Defensive concern: Valence conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Valence registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rodez VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Rodez

(Home)
18 Sept
Rodez
3 : 4
Nancy
11 Sept
Rodez
0 : 1
Grenoble
05 Sept
Metz
4 : 1
Rodez
28 Aug
Rodez
2 : 2
Pau
22 Aug
Nantes
2 : 5
Rodez
Page 1 of 7

Valence

(Away)
24 May
Tarbes
1 : 0
Valence
17 May
Valence
2 : 2
Monaco II
10 May
Stade Montois
4 : 0
Valence
03 May
Valence
1 : 2
Pau
26 Apr
Valence
3 : 3
Beziers
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Athletico Marseille 28 14 8 6 48:25 78
2 Rodez 28 14 8 6 38:27 77
3 Grenoble 28 12 10 6 41:26 74
4 Hyeres 28 12 9 7 31:32 72
5 Pau 28 11 8 9 32:27 69
6 Cannes 28 9 10 9 31:30 65
7 Martigues 28 10 7 11 30:29 65
8 Monaco II 28 9 9 10 43:42 64
9 Beziers 28 7 14 7 35:32 63
10 Marignane GCB 28 10 5 13 29:35 63
11 Nice II 28 8 10 10 34:38 62
12 Pontet 28 9 6 13 23:36 60
13 Tarbes 28 7 10 11 24:35 59
14 Valence 28 6 12 10 26:34 58
15 Stade Montois 28 6 6 16 29:46 52
16 Calvi 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - National 2014/2015 (Main)