Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rodiklis vs FK Atletas

Lithuania Lithuania

Division 2 2007
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This Division 2 2007 encounter between Rodiklis and FK Atletas promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Rodiklis averages 1.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded in recent matches. FK Atletas shows a form average of 1.9 goals scored and 1.7 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 2 wins for Rodiklis, 2 wins for FK Atletas, and 1 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 12.10.08 ended in a 0:0 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.35 for Rodiklis and 1.55 for FK Atletas, suggesting the primary value lies in the Rodiklis double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Rodiklis
23%
Draws
34%
FK Atletas
Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: Rodiklis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • Rodiklis picked up more points recently compared to FK Atletas.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.35 vs 1.55 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 74%
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 41%
Rodiklis Clean Sheet 15%
FK Atletas Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 67%
Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rodiklis FK Atletas
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 15 13
Draws 7 8
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.43 1.94
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.7

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

12.10.08 I Lyga
Rodiklis vs FK Atletas
0:0
02.09.08 I Lyga
Rodiklis vs FK Atletas
1:0
03.05.08 I Lyga
FK Atletas vs Rodiklis
3:2
19.09.07 I Lyga
Rodiklis vs FK Atletas
3:2
28.04.07 I Lyga
FK Atletas vs Rodiklis
3:0

Tactical Matchup Profile

Field Positions & Control Styles

Rodiklis

Pressing Intensity Medium Block
Attacking Style Quick counter-attacks
Wing Attack Frequency A lot of crosses
Defensive Alignment Sit deep
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

FK Atletas

Pressing Intensity Aggressive press (PPDA < 9.5)
Attacking Style Keep the ball
Wing Attack Frequency A lot of crosses
Defensive Alignment Push high up (Offside trap)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rodiklis 42 / 100
FK Atletas 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rodiklis FK Atletas

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Rodiklis or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +23%
2.86
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +13.2%
2.22
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Expected Match Flow Timeline

Dominance and pressure projections by 15-minute intervals

0' - 15' Dominance Index

Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.

Rodiklis 47%
FK Atletas 27%
15' - 30' Dominance Index

The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.

Rodiklis 41%
FK Atletas 36%
30' - 45' Dominance Index

The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.

Rodiklis 43%
FK Atletas 34%
45' - 60' Dominance Index

Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.

Rodiklis 45%
FK Atletas 32%
60' - 75' Dominance Index

As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.

Rodiklis 39%
FK Atletas 37%
75' - 90' Dominance Index

A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.

Rodiklis 49%
FK Atletas 39%

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Rodiklis attacking → ← attacking FK Atletas

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rodiklis have found the net in 70% of their last 30 matches.

FK Atletas have conceded at least one goal in 76% of their last 33 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 2.80 goals per match.

Rodiklis remained undefeated in 2 of their last 5 overall matchups.

FK Atletas suffered defeat in 1 of their last 5 overall games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risk Factor

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Risk Factor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

52 Points in last 5 47
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.00
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Rodiklis22163376:2051
2Dainava Alytus22145361:1447
3Nevezis Kedainiai22136344:1745
4Kruoja22134545:2343
5Jonava22114741:2537
6Banga2297642:1234
7FK Atletas22103976:3433
8Kauno Jegeriai2276934:3027
9Vilkmerge Ukmerge22531431:6018
10FK Klaipeda22461223:5918
11Tauras Taurage22321717:12611
12Anyksciai22131814:846