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Stadium Background

Rodiklis vs Vilkmerge Ukmerge

Lithuania Lithuania

Division 2 2007
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Rodiklis enters this Division 2 2007 fixture as the clear favorite, carrying a strong win probability of 57%. Rodiklis averages 1.5 goals scored and 0.8 conceded in recent matches. Vilkmerge Ukmerge shows a form average of 1.4 goals scored and 2.7 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 2 wins for Rodiklis, 1 wins for Vilkmerge Ukmerge, and 1 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 23.09.07 ended in a 0:3 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.29 for Rodiklis and 1.00 for Vilkmerge Ukmerge, suggesting the primary value lies in the Rodiklis double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Rodiklis
20%
Draws
23%
Vilkmerge Ukmerge
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Rodiklis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Rodiklis picked up more points recently compared to Vilkmerge Ukmerge.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.29 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 56%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%
Rodiklis Clean Sheet 23%
Vilkmerge Ukmerge Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 71%
Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rodiklis Vilkmerge Ukmerge
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 17 7
Draws 7 4
Losses 8 19
Goals Scored 1.53 1.4
Goals Conceded 0.84 2.7

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

23.09.07 I Lyga
Vilkmerge Ukmerge vs Rodiklis
0:3
23.06.07 I Lyga
Rodiklis vs Vilkmerge Ukmerge
3:2
15.08.06 I Lyga
Rodiklis vs Vilkmerge Ukmerge
1:2
06.05.06 I Lyga
Vilkmerge Ukmerge vs Rodiklis
0:0

Tactical Matchup Profile

Field Positions & Control Styles

Rodiklis

Pressing Intensity Medium Block
Attacking Style Quick counter-attacks
Wing Attack Frequency A lot of crosses
Defensive Alignment Sit deep
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Vilkmerge Ukmerge

Pressing Intensity Medium Block
Attacking Style Quick counter-attacks
Wing Attack Frequency A lot of crosses
Defensive Alignment Push high up (Offside trap)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rodiklis 56 / 100
Vilkmerge Ukmerge 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rodiklis Vilkmerge Ukmerge

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rodiklis Win (1)
Secondary Pick Rodiklis & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +16.3%
2.04
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12%
2.00
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Expected Match Flow Timeline

Dominance and pressure projections by 15-minute intervals

0' - 15' Dominance Index

Rodiklis is expected to start with high intensity, putting pressure on the visitors early.

Rodiklis 63%
Vilkmerge Ukmerge 18%
15' - 30' Dominance Index

Vilkmerge Ukmerge will try to absorb the pressure and slow down the tempo of Rodiklis's attacks.

Rodiklis 54%
Vilkmerge Ukmerge 24%
30' - 45' Dominance Index

Expect Rodiklis to create chances through sustained possession before the break.

Rodiklis 57%
Vilkmerge Ukmerge 23%
45' - 60' Dominance Index

Tactical adjustments at half-time will see Rodiklis vary their attacking width.

Rodiklis 60%
Vilkmerge Ukmerge 22%
60' - 75' Dominance Index

Fatigue may set in for Vilkmerge Ukmerge, allowing Rodiklis's midfield to exploit vertical gaps.

Rodiklis 51%
Vilkmerge Ukmerge 25%
75' - 90' Dominance Index

Expect a final offensive push from Rodiklis, while Vilkmerge Ukmerge takes risks to salvage a result.

Rodiklis 66%
Vilkmerge Ukmerge 26%

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Rodiklis attacking → ← attacking Vilkmerge Ukmerge

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rodiklis have found the net in 72% of their last 32 matches.

Vilkmerge Ukmerge have conceded at least one goal in 93% of their last 30 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 2.75 goals per match.

Rodiklis remained undefeated in 2 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Vilkmerge Ukmerge suffered defeat in 4 of their last 5 overall games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risk Factor

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Risk Factor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

58 Points in last 5 25
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Rodiklis22163376:2051
2Dainava Alytus22145361:1447
3Nevezis Kedainiai22136344:1745
4Kruoja22134545:2343
5Jonava22114741:2537
6Banga2297642:1234
7FK Atletas22103976:3433
8Kauno Jegeriai2276934:3027
9Vilkmerge Ukmerge22531431:6018
10FK Klaipeda22461223:5918
11Tauras Taurage22321717:12611
12Anyksciai22131814:846