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Rodina Moscow 2 vs Alania Vladikavkaz Prediction & H2H Stats

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division A Gold Spartakovets imeni N.P. Starostina, Moscow
Our Tip

Match Events

32'
Danilov T.
43' Event
Abdulkhamidov M.
(Penalty)
52' Event
Tikhonov D.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Rodina Moscow 2 in this FNL 2 - Division A Gold matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rodina Moscow 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Rodina Moscow 2
35%
Draws
20%
Alania Vladikavkaz
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Rodina Moscow 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Rodina Moscow 2 have won more games recently than Alania Vladikavkaz.
  • Rodina Moscow 2 are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular FNL 2 - Division A Gold form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Rodina Moscow 2 Clean Sheet 20%
Alania Vladikavkaz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rodina Moscow 2 Alania Vladikavkaz
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 9
Draws 9 11
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.38 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 19, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Rodina Moscow 2 vs Alania Vladikavkaz
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rodina Moscow 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Andreev I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Alania Vladikavkaz Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rodina Moscow 2 76 / 100
Alania Vladikavkaz 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rodina Moscow 2 Alania Vladikavkaz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rodina Moscow 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rodina Moscow 2 found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Alania Vladikavkaz's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Rodina Moscow 2 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rodina Moscow 2 VS Alania Vladikavkaz
1.88 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Rodina Moscow 2

(Home)
27 Sept
Rodina Moscow 2
1 : 3
Sibir Novosibirsk
20 Sept
Dynamo Vladivostok
0 : 1
Rodina Moscow 2
12 Sept
Rodina Moscow 2
3 : 1
Mashuk
05 Sept
Kirov
3 : 2
Rodina Moscow 2
30 Aug
Rodina Moscow 2
4 : 0
Saratov
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Alania Vladikavkaz

(Away)
27 Sept
FC Volgar-Astrakhan
4 : 4
Alania Vladikavkaz
20 Sept
Alania Vladikavkaz
0 : 2
D. Bryansk
12 Sept
Sibir Novosibirsk
0 : 0
Alania Vladikavkaz
06 Sept
Alania Vladikavkaz
0 : 0
Dynamo Vladivostok
30 Aug
Kaluga
1 : 1
Alania Vladikavkaz
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kirov 11 7 2 2 13:8 23
2 Rodina Moscow 2 11 7 2 2 20:10 23
3 D. Bryansk 11 4 4 3 11:13 16
4 Sibir Novosibirsk 11 4 3 4 15:14 15
5 Dynamo Vladivostok 11 3 4 4 8:9 13
6 Mashuk 11 2 7 2 8:8 13
7 Alania Vladikavkaz 11 2 6 3 14:12 12
8 FC Volgar-Astrakhan 11 1 8 2 12:13 11
9 Saratov 11 1 6 4 10:17 9
10 Kaluga 11 0 6 5 6:13 6
Promotion - FNL 2 - Division A Gold (Spring Season)
Relegation - FNL 2 - Division A Silver (Spring Season)