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Rodina Moscow 2 vs Kaluga - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division A Gold Spartakovets imeni N.P. Starostina, Moscow
Our Tip

Match Events

23'
Ivanushkin L.
24'
Khezhev A.
38'
Chibisov S.

AI Match Summary

The FNL 2 - Division A Gold game between Rodina Moscow 2 and Kaluga finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rodina Moscow 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Rodina Moscow 2
20%
Draws
15%
Kaluga
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Rodina Moscow 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Rodina Moscow 2 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 65% — that's where the model lands on Rodina Moscow 2 taking it.
  • Regular FNL 2 - Division A Gold form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Rodina Moscow 2 Clean Sheet 20%
Kaluga Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rodina Moscow 2 Kaluga
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 7
Draws 8 11
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.46 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.14 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Rodina Moscow 2 vs Kaluga
3:0
Aug 8, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Kaluga vs Rodina Moscow 2
0:0
May 27, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Rodina Moscow 2 vs Kaluga
1:2
Apr 8, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Kaluga vs Rodina Moscow 2
1:1
Sep 27, 2025 FNL 2 - Division A Silver
Rodina Moscow 2 vs Kaluga
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rodina Moscow 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Samko V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Maltsev M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Kaluga Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rodina Moscow 2 85 / 100
Kaluga 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rodina Moscow 2 Kaluga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rodina Moscow 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rodina Moscow 2 scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Kaluga's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Rodina Moscow 2 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Rodina Moscow 2 VS Kaluga
2.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 25%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Rodina Moscow 2

(Home)
04 Oct
Rodina Moscow 2
3 : 0
Kaluga
27 Sept
Rodina Moscow 2
1 : 3
Sibir Novosibirsk
20 Sept
Dynamo Vladivostok
0 : 1
Rodina Moscow 2
12 Sept
Rodina Moscow 2
3 : 1
Mashuk
05 Sept
Kirov
3 : 2
Rodina Moscow 2
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Kaluga

(Away)
10 Oct
Kaluga
0 : 0
Mashuk
04 Oct
Rodina Moscow 2
3 : 0
Kaluga
27 Sept
Kaluga
1 : 2
Kirov
20 Sept
Sibir Novosibirsk
3 : 0
Kaluga
13 Sept
Kaluga
1 : 1
Dynamo Vladivostok
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rodina Moscow 2 12 8 2 2 23:10 26
2 Kirov 13 7 3 3 14:10 24
3 Alania Vladikavkaz 13 4 6 3 17:12 18
4 Sibir Novosibirsk 12 5 3 4 17:14 18
5 D. Bryansk 12 4 4 4 11:15 16
6 Mashuk 13 2 9 2 9:9 15
7 Dynamo Vladivostok 12 3 5 4 8:9 14
8 FC Volgar-Astrakhan 12 1 9 2 12:13 12
9 Saratov 12 1 6 5 10:19 9
10 Kaluga 13 0 7 6 6:16 7
Promotion - FNL 2 - Division A Gold (Spring Season)
Relegation - FNL 2 - Division A Silver (Spring Season)