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Rodina Moscow 2 vs Sibir Novosibirsk - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division A Gold Spartakovets imeni N.P. Starostina, Moscow
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Stepanov K.
22'
Stepanov K.
27'
Sub
Stepanov K. In: Boldyrev B.
Out: Stepanov K.

AI Match Summary

The FNL 2 - Division A Gold game between Rodina Moscow 2 and Sibir Novosibirsk finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sibir Novosibirsk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Rodina Moscow 2
15%
Draws
45%
Sibir Novosibirsk
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sibir Novosibirsk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sibir Novosibirsk come out ahead of Rodina Moscow 2 on wins alone.
  • Rodina Moscow 2 are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Rodina Moscow 2 Clean Sheet 18%
Sibir Novosibirsk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rodina Moscow 2 Sibir Novosibirsk
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 14
Draws 8 7
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.46 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Rodina Moscow 2 vs Sibir Novosibirsk
1:3
Aug 2, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Sibir Novosibirsk vs Rodina Moscow 2
1:3
May 17, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Rodina Moscow 2 vs Sibir Novosibirsk
1:1
Mar 29, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Sibir Novosibirsk vs Rodina Moscow 2
1:0
Apr 24, 2024 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Sibir Novosibirsk vs Rodina Moscow 2
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rodina Moscow 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Svintsov D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Sibir Novosibirsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Stepanov K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kobyalko A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rodina Moscow 2 40 / 100
Sibir Novosibirsk 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rodina Moscow 2 Sibir Novosibirsk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rodina Moscow 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rodina Moscow 2's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Sibir Novosibirsk's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Rodina Moscow 2 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rodina Moscow 2 VS Sibir Novosibirsk
2.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Rodina Moscow 2

(Home)
04 Oct
Rodina Moscow 2
3 : 0
Kaluga
27 Sept
Rodina Moscow 2
1 : 3
Sibir Novosibirsk
20 Sept
Dynamo Vladivostok
0 : 1
Rodina Moscow 2
12 Sept
Rodina Moscow 2
3 : 1
Mashuk
05 Sept
Kirov
3 : 2
Rodina Moscow 2
Page 1 of 6

Sibir Novosibirsk

(Away)
04 Oct
Sibir Novosibirsk
2 : 0
D. Bryansk
27 Sept
Rodina Moscow 2
1 : 3
Sibir Novosibirsk
20 Sept
Sibir Novosibirsk
3 : 0
Kaluga
12 Sept
Sibir Novosibirsk
0 : 0
Alania Vladikavkaz
06 Sept
Mashuk
3 : 1
Sibir Novosibirsk
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rodina Moscow 2 12 8 2 2 23:10 26
2 Kirov 13 7 3 3 14:10 24
3 Alania Vladikavkaz 13 4 6 3 17:12 18
4 Sibir Novosibirsk 12 5 3 4 17:14 18
5 D. Bryansk 12 4 4 4 11:15 16
6 Mashuk 13 2 9 2 9:9 15
7 Dynamo Vladivostok 12 3 5 4 8:9 14
8 FC Volgar-Astrakhan 12 1 9 2 12:13 12
9 Saratov 12 1 6 5 10:19 9
10 Kaluga 13 0 7 6 6:16 7
Promotion - FNL 2 - Division A Gold (Spring Season)
Relegation - FNL 2 - Division A Silver (Spring Season)