Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rodina Moscow 3 vs FC Oryol

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Our Tip

Match Events

59' Event
Bugaenko I.

AI Match Summary

FC Oryol in this FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Oryol.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Rodina Moscow 3
6%
Draws
4%
FC Oryol
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Rodina Moscow 3

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to FC Oryol lately — more wins on the board than Rodina Moscow 3.
  • Model gives Rodina Moscow 3 a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Rodina Moscow 3 Clean Sheet 19%
FC Oryol Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rodina Moscow 3 FC Oryol
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 9 11
Draws 6 9
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 2 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Rodina Moscow 3 vs FC Oryol
0:1
Jul 26, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Rodina Moscow 3 vs FC Oryol
2:2
Apr 5, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
FC Oryol vs Rodina Moscow 3
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rodina Moscow 3 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

FC Oryol Compare

Top Goalscorer Bugaenko I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rodina Moscow 3 85 / 100
FC Oryol 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rodina Moscow 3 FC Oryol

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ROD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rodina Moscow 3 found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: FC Oryol conceded in 72% of 32 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.33 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Rodina Moscow 3 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rodina Moscow 3 VS FC Oryol
2 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%