Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rodina Moscow 3 vs Kursk

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Rodina Moscow 3 play Kursk in the FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3. It looks like a close match. Recently, Rodina Moscow 3 averaged 1.63 goals scored and 1.7 conceded. Kursk averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. In past meetings, Rodina Moscow 3 won 0, Kursk won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 8, 2026 ended 2:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.13 for Rodina Moscow 3 and 1.38 for Kursk. This points to a Kursk double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Rodina Moscow 3
25%
Draws
43%
Kursk
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Kursk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • Rodina Moscow 3 picked up more points recently compared to Kursk.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.13 vs 1.38 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 54%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%
Rodina Moscow 3 Clean Sheet 17%
Kursk Clean Sheet 13%
First Half Goal 71%
Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rodina Moscow 3 Kursk
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 9
Draws 6 9
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.63 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Rodina Moscow 3 vs Kursk
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rodina Moscow 3 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kamyshenko A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Manukyan V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Kursk Compare

Top Goalscorer Knyazev D.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rodina Moscow 3 32 / 100
Kursk 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rodina Moscow 3 Kursk

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Kursk or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +33.4%
4.17
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.3%
2.08
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Rodina Moscow 3 attacking → ← attacking Kursk

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rodina Moscow 3 scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Kursk let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Rodina Moscow 3 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Kursk lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

33 Points in last 5 36
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13