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Stadium Background

Rodina Moscow 3 vs Penza Prediction & H2H Stats

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Omarov M.
12' Event
Vezikov A.
20' Event
Kamyshenko A.

AI Match Summary

Rodina Moscow 3 in this FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 matchup, with the score ending 9-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rodina Moscow 3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Rodina Moscow 3
20%
Draws
32%
Penza
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Rodina Moscow 3

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Rodina Moscow 3 have won more games recently than Penza.
  • Rodina Moscow 3 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Rodina Moscow 3 here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Rodina Moscow 3 Clean Sheet 20%
Penza Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rodina Moscow 3 Penza
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 12 9
Draws 4 4
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.9 1.11
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Rodina Moscow 3 vs Penza
9:1
Sep 20, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Penza vs Rodina Moscow 3
2:0
May 31, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Rodina Moscow 3 vs Penza
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rodina Moscow 3 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kamyshenko A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Manukyan V.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Penza Compare

Top Goalscorer Vezikov A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rodina Moscow 3 85 / 100
Penza 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rodina Moscow 3 Penza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rodina Moscow 3 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Rodina Moscow 3 scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Penza's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.

Recent resilience: Rodina Moscow 3 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rodina Moscow 3 VS Penza
1.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Rodina Moscow 3

(Home)
26 Sept
Strogino Moscow
2 : 5
Rodina Moscow 3
19 Sept
Rodina Moscow 3
3 : 2
SKA Khabarovsk 2
12 Sept
FK Shumbrat Saransk
2 : 3
Rodina Moscow 3
05 Sept
Rodina Moscow 3
0 : 1
Spartak Tambov
29 Aug
Kursk
0 : 2
Rodina Moscow 3
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Penza

(Away)
26 Sept
Penza
1 : 1
Saturn Ramenskoye
19 Sept
Penza
0 : 0
Arsenal Tula 2
13 Sept
Strogino Moscow
3 : 0
Penza
05 Sept
Penza
2 : 1
SKA Khabarovsk 2
29 Aug
FK Shumbrat Saransk
1 : 3
Penza
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