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Rodina Moscow U19 vs FK Rostov U19 Prediction & H2H Stats

Russia Russia

Youth League Sapsan Arena, Moscow
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Omarov M.
22' Event
Averyanov S.
28' Event
Kriulsky A.

AI Match Summary

Rodina Moscow U19 in this Youth League matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rodina Moscow U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Rodina Moscow U19
15%
Draws
26%
FK Rostov U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rodina Moscow U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Rodina Moscow U19 lately — more wins on the board than FK Rostov U19.
  • Model gives Rodina Moscow U19 a 59% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Youth League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Rodina Moscow U19 Clean Sheet 16%
FK Rostov U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rodina Moscow U19 FK Rostov U19
Matches Played 26 29
Wins 16 14
Draws 4 4
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 2.58 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 10, 2026 Youth League
Rodina Moscow U19 vs FK Rostov U19
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rodina Moscow U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Omarov M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Averyanov S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

FK Rostov U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Batoyan D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rodina Moscow U19 84 / 100
FK Rostov U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rodina Moscow U19 FK Rostov U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rodina Moscow U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rodina Moscow U19's goal record stands at 92% scoring rate across 26 recent games.

These sides typically produce 6.00 goals when they meet.

FK Rostov U19 let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Rodina Moscow U19 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Rodina Moscow U19 VS FK Rostov U19
3.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 63%
88% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Rodina Moscow U19

(Home)
18 Sept
Rodina Moscow U19
2 : 1
FC Nizhny Novgorod (Est. 2015) U19
11 Sept
Almaz Antey U19
3 : 2
Rodina Moscow U19
04 Sept
Rodina Moscow U19
6 : 1
Lokomotiv Moscow U19
28 Aug
Spartak Moscow U19
3 : 1
Rodina Moscow U19
21 Aug
Rodina Moscow U19
8 : 0
Dynamo Makhachkala U19
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FK Rostov U19

(Away)
18 Sept
FK Rostov U19
1 : 2
Almaz Antey U19
11 Sept
Lokomotiv Moscow U19
1 : 0
FK Rostov U19
04 Sept
FK Rostov U19
0 : 0
Spartak Moscow U19
28 Aug
Dynamo Makhachkala U19
2 : 1
FK Rostov U19
21 Aug
FK Rostov U19
4 : 0
Rubin Kazan U19
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CSKA Moscow U19 24 18 2 4 77:33 56
2 Krasnodar U19 24 17 2 5 72:36 53
3 Zenit St Petersburg U19 24 16 3 5 68:32 51
4 Rodina Moscow U19 24 15 3 6 62:31 48
5 Lokomotiv Moscow U19 24 14 5 5 59:37 47
6 Konoplev Academy U19 24 13 5 6 51:37 44
7 Almaz Antey U19 24 11 5 8 46:51 38
8 Spartak Moscow U19 24 7 10 7 38:41 31
9 FK Rostov U19 24 9 4 11 36:42 31
10 Dynamo Moscow U19 24 9 2 13 39:46 29
11 Dynamo Makhachkala U19 24 7 3 14 32:56 24
12 FC Chertanovo Moscow U19 24 6 5 13 33:55 23
13 Ural U19 24 6 4 14 29:51 22
14 FC Nizhny Novgorod (Est. 2015) U19 24 5 4 15 29:64 19
15 Rubin Kazan U19 24 4 3 17 26:59 15
16 Fakel Voronezh U19 24 3 4 17 25:51 13
Relegation - Youth League (Relegation)