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Stadium Background

Rodina Moscow U19 vs Lokomotiv Moscow U19 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

Youth League Sapsan Arena, Moscow
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Averyanov S.
37' Event
Ages I.
51' Event
Kriulsky A.

AI Match Summary

Rodina Moscow U19 in this Youth League matchup, with the score ending 6-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rodina Moscow U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Rodina Moscow U19
15%
Draws
34%
Lokomotiv Moscow U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rodina Moscow U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Lokomotiv Moscow U19 have won more games recently than Rodina Moscow U19.
  • Win probability leans Rodina Moscow U19's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Youth League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Rodina Moscow U19 Clean Sheet 14%
Lokomotiv Moscow U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rodina Moscow U19 Lokomotiv Moscow U19
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 17 18
Draws 4 5
Losses 6 6
Goals Scored 2.59 2.41
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 2.69 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2026 Youth League
Rodina Moscow U19 vs Lokomotiv Moscow U19
6:1
Apr 24, 2026 Youth League
Lokomotiv Moscow U19 vs Rodina Moscow U19
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rodina Moscow U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ages I.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Averyanov S.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.07
Avg xA / game 1.34

Lokomotiv Moscow U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Belenkov N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rodina Moscow U19 84 / 100
Lokomotiv Moscow U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rodina Moscow U19 Lokomotiv Moscow U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rodina Moscow U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rodina Moscow U19's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Historical meetings average 5.50 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Lokomotiv Moscow U19 conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Rodina Moscow U19 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rodina Moscow U19 VS Lokomotiv Moscow U19
3.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
88% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Rodina Moscow U19

(Home)
09 Oct
Dynamo Moscow U19
2 : 3
Rodina Moscow U19
18 Sept
Rodina Moscow U19
2 : 1
FC Nizhny Novgorod (Est. 2015) U19
11 Sept
Almaz Antey U19
3 : 2
Rodina Moscow U19
04 Sept
Rodina Moscow U19
6 : 1
Lokomotiv Moscow U19
28 Aug
Spartak Moscow U19
3 : 1
Rodina Moscow U19
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Lokomotiv Moscow U19

(Away)
09 Oct
Lokomotiv Moscow U19
1 : 3
Zenit St Petersburg U19
18 Sept
Krasnodar U19
3 : 0
Lokomotiv Moscow U19
11 Sept
Lokomotiv Moscow U19
1 : 0
FK Rostov U19
04 Sept
Rodina Moscow U19
6 : 1
Lokomotiv Moscow U19
28 Aug
Lokomotiv Moscow U19
3 : 1
FC Chertanovo Moscow U19
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CSKA Moscow U19 25 19 2 4 79:33 59
2 Zenit St Petersburg U19 25 17 3 5 71:33 54
3 Krasnodar U19 25 17 2 6 74:41 53
4 Rodina Moscow U19 25 16 3 6 65:33 51
5 Lokomotiv Moscow U19 25 14 5 6 60:40 47
6 Konoplev Academy U19 25 13 5 7 51:39 44
7 Almaz Antey U19 25 12 5 8 51:53 41
8 Spartak Moscow U19 25 7 10 8 38:42 31
9 FK Rostov U19 25 9 4 12 37:44 31
10 Dynamo Moscow U19 25 9 2 14 41:49 29
11 Dynamo Makhachkala U19 25 8 3 14 33:56 27
12 Ural U19 25 7 4 14 30:51 25
13 FC Chertanovo Moscow U19 25 6 5 14 34:57 23
14 FC Nizhny Novgorod (Est. 2015) U19 25 6 4 15 31:65 22
15 Fakel Voronezh U19 25 4 4 17 27:52 16
16 Rubin Kazan U19 25 4 3 18 26:60 15
Relegation - Youth League (Relegation)