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Rodina Moscow vs Krasnodar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

Premier League Arena Khimki, Khimki
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
04:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Rodina Moscow host Krasnodar in the Premier League. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Krasnodar have shipped 0.93 goals a game lately, while Rodina Moscow have conceded 1.89 and scored 1.71. Head-to-head, Rodina Moscow have won 0 to Krasnodar's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Feb 3, 2024, ending 3:0. xG projections (0.94 - 1.94) back Krasnodar to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Rodina Moscow
35%
Draws
39%
Krasnodar
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Krasnodar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Krasnodar lately — more wins on the board than Rodina Moscow.
  • Win probability leans Krasnodar's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Rodina Moscow Clean Sheet 10%
Krasnodar Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rodina Moscow Krasnodar
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 17
Draws 5 8
Losses 12 3
Goals Scored 1.71 1.82
Goals Conceded 1.89 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 3, 2024 Club Friendly
Krasnodar vs Rodina Moscow
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rodina Moscow 26 / 100
Krasnodar 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rodina Moscow Krasnodar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Krasnodar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rodina Moscow found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Krasnodar conceded in 61% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Rodina Moscow remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Rodina Moscow VS Krasnodar
1 Goals Scored 1.5
2.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Rodina Moscow

(Home)
11 Oct
CSKA Moscow
3 : 0
Rodina Moscow
04 Oct
Dynamo Moscow
3 : 2
Rodina Moscow
27 Sept
Partizan
2 : 3
Rodina Moscow
16 Sept
Rodina Moscow
1 : 1
Rubin Kazan
11 Sept
Krylya Sovetov Samara
2 : 1
Rodina Moscow
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Krasnodar

(Away)
10 Oct
Krasnodar
2 : 3
Zenit St Petersburg
03 Oct
FK Rostov
0 : 3
Krasnodar
17 Sept
Orenburg
0 : 0
Krasnodar
13 Sept
Krasnodar
1 : 1
Akron Togliatti
05 Sept
Krylya Sovetov Samara
2 : 2
Krasnodar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dynamo Moscow 10 7 1 2 15:8 22
2 CSKA Moscow 10 6 4 0 18:9 22
3 Zenit St Petersburg 10 7 0 3 22:11 21
4 Krasnodar 10 6 3 1 16:10 21
5 Spartak Moscow 10 6 2 2 17:8 20
6 Rubin Kazan 10 2 6 2 12:12 12
7 Orenburg 10 2 6 2 11:10 12
8 Baltika 10 3 3 4 14:12 12
9 Dynamo Makhachkala 10 4 0 6 15:20 12
10 Krylya Sovetov Samara 10 2 6 2 14:15 12
11 Akhmat Grozny 10 2 5 3 13:13 11
12 FK Rostov 10 3 2 5 11:17 11
13 Lokomotiv Moscow 10 2 4 4 13:11 10
14 Akron Togliatti 10 1 5 4 11:19 8
15 Rodina Moscow 10 1 2 7 10:25 5
16 Fakel Voronezh 10 0 3 7 6:18 3
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - FNL 2027/2028 (Main)