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Rodina Moscow vs Rubin Kazan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

Premier League Arena Khimki, Khimki
Rodina Moscow Logo

Rodina Moscow

1 - 1
FT
Rubin Kazan Logo

Rubin Kazan

Our Tip

Match Events

30'
Mansilla B.
41'
Hodza V.
49'
Rozhkov I.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Rodina Moscow and Rubin Kazan finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Rodina Moscow
35%
Draws
45%
Rubin Kazan
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Rubin Kazan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Rodina Moscow carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Rodina Moscow Clean Sheet 10%
Rubin Kazan Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rodina Moscow Rubin Kazan
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 12 10
Draws 5 13
Losses 11 5
Goals Scored 1.79 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 Premier League
Rodina Moscow vs Rubin Kazan
1:1
Aug 4, 2026 Russian Cup
Rodina Moscow vs Rubin Kazan
5:0
Feb 22, 2024 Club Friendly
Rubin Kazan vs Rodina Moscow
1:4
Jun 3, 2023 FNL
Rodina Moscow vs Rubin Kazan
0:0
Jul 17, 2022 FNL
Rubin Kazan vs Rodina Moscow
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rodina Moscow Compare

Top Goalscorer Machado D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Rubin Kazan Compare

Top Goalscorer Arroyo A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rodina Moscow 30 / 100
Rubin Kazan 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rodina Moscow Rubin Kazan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rodina Moscow's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Rubin Kazan's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Rodina Moscow stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rodina Moscow VS Rubin Kazan
1 Goals Scored 1.5
2.5 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Rodina Moscow

(Home)
04 Oct
Dynamo Moscow
3 : 2
Rodina Moscow
27 Sept
Partizan
2 : 3
Rodina Moscow
16 Sept
Rodina Moscow
1 : 1
Rubin Kazan
11 Sept
Krylya Sovetov Samara
2 : 1
Rodina Moscow
06 Sept
Dynamo Makhachkala
2 : 0
Rodina Moscow
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Rubin Kazan

(Away)
16 Sept
Rodina Moscow
1 : 1
Rubin Kazan
12 Sept
CSKA Moscow
1 : 1
Rubin Kazan
07 Sept
Rubin Kazan
1 : 1
Akhmat Grozny
02 Sept
Orenburg
1 : 2
Rubin Kazan
30 Aug
Rubin Kazan
3 : 1
Dynamo Makhachkala
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Krasnodar 9 6 3 0 14:7 21
2 Dynamo Moscow 9 6 1 2 14:8 19
3 CSKA Moscow 9 5 4 0 15:9 19
4 Spartak Moscow 9 6 1 2 16:7 19
5 Zenit St Petersburg 9 6 0 3 19:9 18
6 Orenburg 10 2 6 2 11:10 12
7 Rubin Kazan 9 2 6 1 12:11 12
8 Dynamo Makhachkala 10 4 0 6 15:20 12
9 Baltika 9 3 2 4 14:12 11
10 FK Rostov 10 3 2 5 11:17 11
11 Krylya Sovetov Samara 9 2 5 2 13:14 11
12 Akhmat Grozny 9 2 4 3 13:13 10
13 Akron Togliatti 10 1 5 4 11:19 8
14 Lokomotiv Moscow 9 1 4 4 8:11 7
15 Rodina Moscow 9 1 2 6 10:22 5
16 Fakel Voronezh 9 0 3 6 6:13 3
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - FNL 2027/2028 (Main)