Sport Picks
Rodina Moscow vs Spartak Moscow - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Russia
Russian Cup Arena Khimki, Khimki 
AI Match Summary
The first leg ended 3-1. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Rodina Moscow at 1.79 goals for, 1.79 against; Spartak Moscow at 1.66 for, 0.93 against. Past meetings favor Spartak Moscow slightly — 0-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 2, 2026, ending 3:1. The numbers (0.94 xG vs 2.19) point toward Spartak Moscow. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Rodina Moscow haven't matched Spartak Moscow's recent run of results.
- Spartak Moscow are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- Spartak Moscow arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Spartak Moscow, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Spartak Moscow here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Rodina Moscow | Spartak Moscow |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 18 |
| Draws | 5 | 4 |
| Losses | 11 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.79 | 1.66 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.79 | 0.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 2.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 4.33 goals when they meet.
Rodina Moscow scored in 75% of their last 28 games.
Spartak Moscow let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.
Rodina Moscow went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Rodina Moscow
(Home)Spartak Moscow
(Away)League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spartak Moscow | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9:3 | 7 |
| 2 | Rubin Kazan | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2:7 | 4 |
| 3 | Orenburg | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:7 | 4 |
| 4 | Rodina Moscow | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7:7 | 3 |
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Krasnodar | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 7 |
| 2 | Dynamo Moscow | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:1 | 6 |
| 3 | Akhmat Grozny | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | 4 |
| 4 | Fakel Voronezh | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:4 | 1 |
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zenit St Petersburg | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 8 |
| 2 | Krylya Sovetov Samara | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | 6 |
| 3 | Baltika | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1:2 | 3 |
| 4 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:6 | 1 |
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Rostov | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:0 | 9 |
| 2 | Akron Togliatti | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | 5 |
| 3 | CSKA Moscow | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | 2 |
| 4 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:2 | 2 |
