Sport Picks
Rodopa Smolyan vs Maritsa Plovdiv Prediction & H2H Stats
Bulgaria
Third League - South-East Stadion Septemvri, Smolyan 
AI Match Summary
Rodopa Smolyan in this Third League - South-East matchup, with the score ending 5-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rodopa Smolyan.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
80%
20%
0%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Rodopa Smolyan
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
80%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Rodopa Smolyan lately — more wins on the board than Maritsa Plovdiv.
- 80% — that's where the model lands on Rodopa Smolyan taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Rodopa Smolyan Clean Sheet 13%
Maritsa Plovdiv Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Rodopa Smolyan | Maritsa Plovdiv |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 10 |
| Draws | 4 | 6 |
| Losses | 13 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.52 | 1.79 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.69 | 1.59 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.06 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 19, 2026 Third League - South-East
Rodopa Smolyan vs Maritsa Plovdiv
5:3
Apr 9, 2026 Third League - South-East
Maritsa Plovdiv vs Rodopa Smolyan
5:0
Oct 1, 2025 Third League - South-East
Rodopa Smolyan vs Maritsa Plovdiv
1:4
Mar 1, 2025 Third League - South-East
Rodopa Smolyan vs Maritsa Plovdiv
2:2
Aug 17, 2024 Third League - South-East
Maritsa Plovdiv vs Rodopa Smolyan
2:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Rodopa Smolyan 57 / 100
Maritsa Plovdiv 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Rodopa Smolyan Maritsa Plovdiv
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Rodopa Smolyan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.
Difficult form: Maritsa Plovdiv registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.
Attacking prowess: Rodopa Smolyan scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.
Maritsa Plovdiv let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.
Scoring Trends
Rodopa Smolyan VS Maritsa Plovdiv
2.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Rodopa Smolyan
(Home) 26 Sept
Spartak Plovdiv
2 : 0 Rodopa Smolyan
19 Sept
Rodopa Smolyan
5 : 3 Maritsa Plovdiv
12 Sept
Rozova Dolina
1 : 1 Rodopa Smolyan
05 Sept
Rodopa Smolyan
0 : 0 OFC Haskovo
29 Aug
Yambol 1915
5 : 1 Rodopa Smolyan
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Rodopa Smolyan
5 : 3 Maritsa Plovdiv
05 Sept
Rodopa Smolyan
0 : 0 OFC Haskovo
22 Aug
Rodopa Smolyan
1 : 3 Zagorets
30 May
Rodopa Smolyan
4 : 2 Sekirovo Rakovski
17 May
Rodopa Smolyan
2 : 0 Lok. Plovdiv II
Page 1 of 3
Maritsa Plovdiv
(Away) 26 Sept
Maritsa Plovdiv
1 : 2 Levski Karlovo
19 Sept
Rodopa Smolyan
5 : 3 Maritsa Plovdiv
12 Sept
Maritsa Plovdiv
0 : 2 Spartak Plovdiv
05 Sept
Maritsa Plovdiv
0 : 1 Gigant Saedinenie
29 Aug
Rozova Dolina
2 : 0 Maritsa Plovdiv
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Rodopa Smolyan
5 : 3 Maritsa Plovdiv
29 Aug
Rozova Dolina
2 : 0 Maritsa Plovdiv
15 Aug
Yambol 1915
3 : 0 Maritsa Plovdiv
23 May
Spartak Plovdiv
3 : 1 Maritsa Plovdiv
16 May
Yambol 1915
1 : 1 Maritsa Plovdiv
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Krumovgrad | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 26:7 | 24 |
| 2 | Spartak Plovdiv | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 20:10 | 21 |
| 3 | Maritsa Milevo | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 17:9 | 18 |
| 4 | OFC Haskovo | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15:6 | 17 |
| 5 | Yambol 1915 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 24:9 | 16 |
| 6 | Sozopol | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17:13 | 13 |
| 7 | Gigant Saedinenie | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17:14 | 13 |
| 8 | Neftochimic Burgas | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 15:12 | 13 |
| 9 | Rodopa Smolyan | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 10 | Rozova Dolina | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 11:10 | 11 |
| 11 | Zagorets | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10:15 | 10 |
| 12 | Botev II | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 13:15 | 9 |
| 13 | Dimitrovgrad | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12:16 | 7 |
| 14 | Lok. Plovdiv II | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10:21 | 7 |
| 15 | Atletik Kuklen | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 7:19 | 6 |
| 16 | Sekirovo Rakovski | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 13:24 | 5 |
| 17 | Levski Karlovo | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5:19 | 3 |
| 18 | Maritsa Plovdiv | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5:17 | 1 |
Promotion - Vtora liga (Main)
