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Rodopa Smolyan vs Sliven Prediction & H2H Stats

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-East 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Third League - South-East 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Rodopa Smolyan
20%
Draws
30%
Sliven
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Rodopa Smolyan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Sliven haven't matched Rodopa Smolyan's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Rodopa Smolyan a 50% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Rodopa Smolyan Clean Sheet 16%
Sliven Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rodopa Smolyan Sliven
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 10 9
Draws 5 5
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 1.46 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.71 2.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2024 Third League - South-East
Rodopa Smolyan vs Sliven
1:1
Sep 30, 2023 Third League - South-East
Sliven vs Rodopa Smolyan
1:9
Jun 3, 2023 Third League - South-East
Rodopa Smolyan vs Sliven
5:0
Nov 27, 2022 Third League - South-East
Sliven vs Rodopa Smolyan
2:2
Apr 9, 2008 B PFG East
Rodopa Smolyan vs Sliven
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rodopa Smolyan 84 / 100
Sliven 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rodopa Smolyan Sliven

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rodopa Smolyan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.40 goals as a typical output.

Rodopa Smolyan found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).

Sliven has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Rodopa Smolyan stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rodopa Smolyan VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Rodopa Smolyan

(Home)
26 Sept
Spartak Plovdiv
2 : 0
Rodopa Smolyan
19 Sept
Rodopa Smolyan
5 : 3
Maritsa Plovdiv
12 Sept
Rozova Dolina
1 : 1
Rodopa Smolyan
05 Sept
Rodopa Smolyan
0 : 0
OFC Haskovo
29 Aug
Yambol 1915
5 : 1
Rodopa Smolyan
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Sliven

(Away)
27 Jan
Beroe
13 : 0
Sliven
25 Jan
Chernomorets 1919
5 : 3
Sliven
17 Jul
Sozopol
4 : 2
Sliven
01 Jun
Sekirovo Rakovski
2 : 0
Sliven
25 May
Sliven
5 : 2
Levski Karlovo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nesebar 38 29 8 1 121:39 95
2 OFC Haskovo 38 30 3 5 97:26 93
3 Spartak Plovdiv 38 29 6 3 122:22 93
4 Gigant Saedinenie 38 21 8 9 81:43 71
5 Zagorets 38 21 6 11 79:42 69
6 Dimitrovgrad 38 19 10 9 60:40 67
7 Botev II 38 18 7 13 84:55 61
8 Atletik Kuklen 38 18 4 16 60:71 58
9 Rozova Dolina 38 17 5 16 60:50 56
10 Rodopa Smolyan 38 15 6 17 64:63 51
11 Asenovets 38 14 6 18 59:73 48
12 Lok. Plovdiv II 38 14 5 19 65:59 47
13 Sozopol 38 12 10 16 57:53 46
14 Sekirovo Rakovski 38 11 7 20 59:75 40
15 Levski Karlovo 38 11 5 22 56:91 38
16 Yambol 1915 38 9 10 19 49:82 37
17 Karnobat 38 11 1 26 46:106 34
18 Sliven 38 8 6 24 42:127 30
19 Sokol Markovo 38 8 3 27 36:98 27
20 Beroe II 38 6 2 30 26:108 20
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