Sport Picks
Rodopa Smolyan vs Zagorets
Bulgaria
Third League - South-East Stadion Septemvri, Smolyan 
AI Match Summary
The Third League - South-East game between Rodopa Smolyan and Zagorets finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Zagorets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
20%
51%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Zagorets
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Zagorets's 1.52 goals per match outpaces what Rodopa Smolyan have produced (1.45).
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Rodopa Smolyan Clean Sheet 16%
Zagorets Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Rodopa Smolyan | Zagorets |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 11 | 11 |
| Draws | 4 | 7 |
| Losses | 14 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.45 | 1.52 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.66 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.06 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 22, 2026 Third League - South-East
Rodopa Smolyan vs Zagorets
1:3
Apr 24, 2026 Third League - South-East
Zagorets vs Rodopa Smolyan
1:0
Oct 11, 2025 Third League - South-East
Rodopa Smolyan vs Zagorets
1:1
May 31, 2025 Third League - South-East
Zagorets vs Rodopa Smolyan
5:0
Nov 30, 2024 Third League - South-East
Rodopa Smolyan vs Zagorets
2:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Rodopa Smolyan 31 / 100
Zagorets 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Rodopa Smolyan Zagorets
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Zagorets Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Rodopa Smolyan scored in 72% of their last 29 games.
Defensive concern: Zagorets conceded in 71% of 31 recent games.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Rodopa Smolyan went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Rodopa Smolyan VS Zagorets
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Rodopa Smolyan
(Home) 12 Sept
Rozova Dolina
1 : 1 Rodopa Smolyan
05 Sept
Rodopa Smolyan
0 : 0 OFC Haskovo
29 Aug
Yambol 1915
5 : 1 Rodopa Smolyan
22 Aug
Rodopa Smolyan
1 : 3 Zagorets
15 Aug
Sozopol
0 : 2 Rodopa Smolyan
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Rodopa Smolyan
0 : 0 OFC Haskovo
22 Aug
Rodopa Smolyan
1 : 3 Zagorets
30 May
Rodopa Smolyan
4 : 2 Sekirovo Rakovski
17 May
Rodopa Smolyan
2 : 0 Lok. Plovdiv II
09 May
Rodopa Smolyan
2 : 1 Dimitrovgrad
Page 1 of 3
Zagorets
(Away) 12 Sept
Zagorets
4 : 3 Atletik Kuklen
05 Sept
Dimitrovgrad
2 : 0 Zagorets
29 Aug
Zagorets
2 : 0 Levski Karlovo
22 Aug
Rodopa Smolyan
1 : 3 Zagorets
15 Aug
Zagorets
1 : 4 Spartak Plovdiv
Page 1 of 7
05 Sept
Dimitrovgrad
2 : 0 Zagorets
22 Aug
Rodopa Smolyan
1 : 3 Zagorets
08 Aug
Maritsa Plovdiv
0 : 0 Zagorets
18 Jul
Beroe
0 : 0 Zagorets
29 May
Maritsa Plovdiv
9 : 1 Zagorets
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Krumovgrad | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 20:7 | 18 |
| 2 | Spartak Plovdiv | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 17:6 | 18 |
| 3 | Maritsa Milevo | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12:5 | 15 |
| 4 | Yambol 1915 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 17:7 | 13 |
| 5 | OFC Haskovo | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10:6 | 11 |
| 6 | Sozopol | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 14:11 | 10 |
| 7 | Gigant Saedinenie | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13:11 | 10 |
| 8 | Zagorets | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10:10 | 10 |
| 9 | Rodopa Smolyan | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:9 | 8 |
| 10 | Rozova Dolina | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 7:7 | 7 |
| 11 | Lok. Plovdiv II | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:8 | 7 |
| 12 | Dimitrovgrad | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10:11 | 6 |
| 13 | Atletik Kuklen | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7:10 | 6 |
| 14 | Botev II | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10:15 | 6 |
| 15 | Neftochimic Burgas | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8:12 | 4 |
| 16 | Sekirovo Rakovski | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6:18 | 2 |
| 17 | Maritsa Plovdiv | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1:10 | 1 |
| 18 | Levski Karlovo | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2:16 | 0 |
Promotion - Vtora liga (Main)
